MLB Picks Cardinals -128: STL Pitching Will Prevail Thursday & Sweep D-Backs

Ross Benjamin

Thursday, August 27, 2015 1:03 PM GMT

Check out this breakdown  of Thursday’s Diamondbacks vs. Cardinals game. Can St. Louis complete a four game sweep of this series? Join us to find out.

Cardinals Look to Sweep D-Backs in the Desert
The Cardinals and Diamondbacks will play in the finale of a four game series tonight. The first pitch at Chase Field in Phoenix is slated for 9:40 PM ET. St. Louis has won each of the first three games of this series. The Cardinals are now a perfect 6-0 in this season series. A pair of right-handers will be on the mound tonight. It will be Carlos Martinez (12-5/2.85 ERA)) for St. Louis and Rubby De La Rosa (11-5/4.32 ERA) for Arizona.

 

The Beat Goes on for Cards
St. Louis enters today riding a four game winning streak, and they now sit at a superb 81-45 (.642) on the year. They’re on pace to win 104 regular season games in 2015. They’ve been especially dominant versus right-handed starting pitchers, going a terrific 62-30 (.674) in that role. However, they’re far from being a runaway leader in the NL Central, leading Pittsburgh (76-49) by just 4.5 games, and the third place Cubs (73-52) by 7.5. Tonight’s starter Carlos Martinez has gone a superb 18-4 in his team starts since 2014 as a money line favorite of -110 or more. He’s made one start versus Arizona this year, and it was indeed a superb outing, allowing no earned runs on 5 hits while striking out 8 in 7.0 innings.

 

D-Backs Momentum Comes to Screeching Halt
Arizona entered this current set against St. Louis on a four game winning streak. Obviously that momentum they established has come to an abrupt halt during the first three games of this series. Arizona is third in the NL West standings, currently 7.5 games behind division leading Los Angeles, and trails second place San Francisco by 5.0 games. They’re still considered to be in contention, but their chances are getting dimmer by the day. The Diamondbacks have gone a futile 21-42 at home since 2014 as a money line underdog of +100 or more. Tonight’s starter Rubby De La Rosa has displayed decent form during his previous three starts by posting a 2.70 ERA in those outings. However, his 1.40 WHIP during that stretch lends me to believe he’s been very fortunate to escape somewhat unscathed.

 

Final Analysis
The Cardinals pitching staff continues to perform at a high level. St. Louis is allowing a paltry 3.0 runs per game this season, and they’ve held opponents to a miserable .653 OPS. Much has been made of the Cardinals outstanding 46-19 home record and rightfully so. It’s easy to overlook their very respectable 34-25 road mark as well.

The red-hot Arizona bats have cooled considerably during the first three games of this series. They’ve scored just a combined 5 runs and left 26 men on base. I’m going to lean toward the visitors for one of my MLB picks on Thursday. According to current MLB betting odds, Sportsbetting.com offers the cheapest price regarding this wager.

MLB Pick: St. Louis -128 at 5Dimes