MLB Picks: Braves vs. Giants Odds & Analysis

Jeff Grant

Thursday, May 9, 2013 12:33 PM GMT

Two of the three division leaders in the Senior Circuit will open up a four-game series Thursday night, one being the Atlanta Braves take on the San Francisco Giants.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for this National League matchup at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.

Take the show on the road

Atlanta improved to 20-13 overall and 11-8 on the road Wednesday, as it picked up a 7-2 victory over the Cincinnati Reds, while going OVER the total for a fifth consecutive contest. 

The Braves are 44-29 against NL West opponents the last two-plus seasons, with the OVER going 36-33-4 in that situation.

Avoided the broom

San Francisco salvaged a three-game home series against the Philadelphia Phillies, as it picked up a 4-3 10-inning victory last time out, while going UNDER for the first time in three affairs.

The Giants are 4-1 at home with a money line of +125 to -125 this season, with the OVER going 3-1-1 in those five opportunities.

Teheran

Braves starting pitcher Julio Teheran (1-0, 5.08 ERA) has led the club to victory in all five of his outings, including a no-decision effort in a 3-2 home win over the Washington Nationals on April 29, as he allowed two runs and 10 hits over 5.1 innings. 

The right-hander is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in three road outings, with opposing hitters batting .300 against him, while issuing six walks and striking out 13 batters in 18 combined frames.

Teheran will be facing the Giants for the first time in his career.

Vogelsong

Giants starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong (1-2, 7.20 ERA) has watched the team alternated wins and losses over his six outings, as he didn’t figure into the decision of a 10-9 home victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out, allowing seven runs and nine hits in 4.2 innings.

The right-hander is 0-1 with a 8.47 ERA in three home outings, with opposing hitters batting .347 against him.

In three career games (two starts) versus the Braves, Vogelsong has compiled a 1-0 record and 2.30 ERA, but has surrendered four home runs in 15.2 frames.

Stay on top of the betting lines with Steven Suarez' Lines Report!

[gameodds]3/226328/43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their baseball picks this Thursday. The OVER is 9-1-1 in Vogelsong’s last 11 outings as a home favorite, while these two teams have climbed above the number in five of their last six meetings at this ballpark.

MLB Pick: Over 7.5  BET 365

And don't forget to check out Joe Freda's Angels vs. Astros assessment!