MLB Picks: Braves vs. Giants to go 'Over' 6.5

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 10, 2013 11:16 AM GMT

The Atlanta Braves have gone above the betting total in 13 of their 20 road games this season, as they continue a four-game series with the San Francisco Giants Friday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB odds for this National League matchup at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET.

Power lineup

Atlanta picked up a 6-3 series-opening victory over San Francisco as +114 road underdogs Thursday, while going OVER the betting total of 7.5.  

The Braves continue to rely heavily on their power, with catcher Brian McCann hitting the team’s 48th home run, which is just a single round tripper less than the MLB-leading Cleveland Indians in that category.   

In nine games as road underdogs of +100 or higher, the club has compiled a 6-3 record, with the OVER going 8-1 in those opportunities. 

Struggles outside the division 

San Francisco has dropped three of its last four games—getting outscored by a combined 21-11 margin in that span.  The squad has compiled a disappointing 5-9 record versus teams outside its division.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Giants are 29-42 versus National League East opponents, with no clear edge in the betting total (35-35-1 Over/Under). 

Hudson 

Braves starting pitcher Tim Hudson (4-1, 3.83 ERA) has won back-to-back home starts, including a 9-4 victory over the New York Mets last time out, allowing three runs and five hits over 7.1 innings. 

The right-hander is 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA in three road efforts, issuing four walks and striking out just eight batters in 17 combined frames. 

In 17 career games versus the Giants, Hudson has tallied an 8-4 record and 3.17 ERA, including a 3-2 mark and 2.98 ERA in seven outings at this ballpark.

Cain 

Giants starting pitcher Matt Cain (1-2, 5.57 ERA) has watched the club compiled a 2-5 record in this seven outings this season, but it has come away with victories in the last two, including a 4-3 home win over the Los Angeles Dodgers last time out.   

The right-hander is 1-1 with a 6.88 ERA in three home efforts, but he’s limited opponents to just a single home run in 17 combined frames.

In six career starts versus the Braves, Cain has compiled a 3-2 record and 3.16 ERA, including a 1-1 mark and 4.76 ERA in three home outings. 

[gameodds]3/226373/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks Friday, as Cain and Hudson have a combined 5.55 ERA with umpire Tony Randazzo behind the plate. 

The OVER is also 5-0 in Hudson’s last five road efforts in this series, while the Giants have gone over the number in nine of Cain’s last 11 outings on regular rest. 

MLB Pick:  Over 6.5 at Bovada