MLB Picks: Braves vs. Brewers Odds & Prediction

Joe Freda

Sunday, June 23, 2013 12:23 PM GMT

Sunday’s MLB betting has the Milwaukee Brewers looking for a home sweep against the Atlanta Braves, following a pair of 2-0 victories in this weekend’s action.

Brewers right-hander Alfredo Figaro (1-1, 3.88 ERA) is slated to face Braves lefty Paul Maholm (7-6, 3.57 ERA), with Maholm listed as MLB odds favorites.

Brewers, Ramirez edge Braves

Milwaukee’s Aramiz Ramirez and Juan Francisco drove in one run each for Saturday’s win, with Ramirez finishing 3-for-4. Brewers closer Francisco Rodriguez completed his staff’s shutout, anchoring five hurlers for his sixth save of the year. 

Braves mates B.J. Upton and Andrelton Simmons united to hit 4-for-7, including a double from Upton. Atlanta’s Jordan Schafer and Freddie Freeman went hitless from the leadoff and cleanup spots, respectively, held to a combined 0-for-7 day. 

Maholm goes seven in defeat 

Maholm came away with a second straight loss in Tuesday’s 6-1 defeat for Atlanta to the New York Mets, failing to cash as a 182 home favorite. The 30-year-old allowed two runs over seven innings, giving up a homer to New York’s Anthony Recker as part of nine hits. 

Braves outfielder Justin Upton logged his side’s sole RBI, while mate Jason Heyward left six men on base in a 0-for-5 night. Atlanta was edged in hits by a 14-7 margin, while the lopsided affair’s combined seven runs ‘pushed’ its closing ‘total.’ 

Figaro logs first loss

Figaro picked up his first losing decision of the year on the same night’s card, with Milwaukee’s 10-1 setback against the Houston Astros. The Dominican Republic native lasted 4 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on five hits. 

Milwaukee’s Carlos Gomez poked a double in a 2-for-4 night, while second baseman Scooter Gennett drove in his side’s sole run. Brewers outfielder Norichika Aoki went 0-for-4 from the leadoff spot, while third baseman Yuniesky Betancourt logged two of his team’s three errors. 

[gameodds]3/237056/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Back the Brewers as home dogs 

Maholm opened as a 125 road favorite on William Hill’s MLB betting board, while the shop first set the ‘total’ at 8 ½ (UNDER minus 115). The weather forecast at Miller Park calls for an 85-degree afternoon, with 12 mph winds blowing right-to-left.

I am adding a ticket on Figaro and Milwaukee for Sunday’s sports picks, taking a home dog price here. 

Figaro has given up his share of runs in recent outings, but has allowed a .293 OBP at home as both a starter and reliever. Atlanta has hit just .233 against right-handed pitching on the road, while going 0-5 in its last five matchups away from home against a listed righty. 

Maholm has allowed a sizable 1.37 WHIP over his nine road starts, while Atlanta has logged a 1-3 mark in the span’s last four duels as a favorite. The nine-year veteran fared poorly in three starts against Milwaukee last year, as part of both the Braves and Cubs’ staffs, giving up 16 earned runs over 12 1/3 IP. 

Milwaukee has notched a 5-1 mark in its last six spots as a home underdog, while Atlanta is 2-6 in its last eight games that came after a defeat. Look for these trends to hold up here, giving the money to the “Brew Crew” at a plus price. 

MLB Pick: Milwaukee Brewers +105 at William Hill