MLB Picks: Blue Jays vs. Orioles Wednesday Preview

Joe Freda

Wednesday, September 25, 2013 11:59 AM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 25, 2013 11:59 AM UTC

Wednesday’s MLB betting has Baltimore’s Bud Norris (10-12, 4.12 ERA) squaring off with Toronto’s Esmil Rogers (5-8, 4.52 ERA) in a matchup of righties.

The Toronto Blue Jays came through in the 10th inning for Tuesday’s 3-2 victory over the Baltimore Orioles, collecting as 153 road dogsagainst the MLB odds

Jays, DeRosa top O’s

Toronto’s Mark DeRosa drilled a pair of RBI-single’s for his club’s tying and go-ahead runs, scoring mate Jose Reyes on both occasions. Reyes united with cleanup man Adam Lind to hit 4-for-7, while closer Casey Janssen anchored four relievers for his 34th save.

Orioles mates Nate McLouth and Brian Roberts each poked one homer from their lineup’s top two spots, while Dan Johnson left five men on base in a 0-for-4 outings. Baltimore edged the Blue Jays in hits, 10-9, while the battle’s combined five runs dipped UNDER the MLB betting ‘total’ of eight.

Norris returns as starter

Norris saw action in Friday’s 5-4 defeat for Baltimore to the Tampa Bay Rays, picking up his staff’s loss as part of 2 1/3 frames of late relief. The lengthy 18-inning duel saw Norris surrender Tampa Bay’s winning run, while allowing three hits and two walks.

Baltimore’s Matt Wieters and J.J. Hardy both hit 2-for-7, with Wieters poking his 27th double of the year. Orioles’ designated hitter, Danny Valencia left six men on base from the cleanup spot, while outfielder Nick Markakis was held to a 1-for-8 night.

Rogers leaves early in Boston

Rogers logged his first loss in six starts on the same night, with Toronto’s 6-3 defeat to the Boston Red Sox. The 28-year-old allowed two runs on three hits, departing after 2 1/3 innings as a 188 road dog.

Toronto’s Adam Lind and Rajai Davis poked a homer and double, respectively, uniting to hit 3-for-6. Blue Jays catcher J.P. Arencibia left six men on base in a 0-for-4 night, while the contest’s combined nine runs jumped OVER the closing ‘total’ of 8 ½.

Back the OVER in Baltimore

William Hill opened Norris as a 160 home favorite, while first posting the ‘total’ at eight (UNDER minus 115). Baltimore’s weather forecast calls for 71 degrees, with calm winds and partly cloudy skies.

I am backing the OVER in this matchup, adding the wager to Wednesday’s card of sports picks.

Norris has not had good numbers in his latest stints at Camden Yards, giving up 15 earned runs over his last 14 2/3 IP. The last two outings have seen a total of three homers surrendered, while the OVER is 10-4-1 in Baltimore’s last 15 home dates against righty starters.

Rogers has settled down this month, but faces an Orioles lineup capable of breaking out in a spot with nothing but stats to play for. Baltimore’s Chris Davis and Adam Jones have hit two doubles each in a combined 6-for-15 mark against the righty, while the Orioles always remain a scoring threat – ranked fifth in the American League (4.6 RPG).

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Look for the octane to pick up here from Tuesday’s tight opener, resuming a hot 4-1 trend for the OVER in the last five meetings between these foes in Baltimore.

MLB Pick:  OVER 8 at William Hill

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