MLB Picks: Bet Yankees Run Line Odds, Trusting Eovaldi at Home

Willie Bee

Monday, August 24, 2015 11:02 AM GMT

The Houston Astros begin a crucial road trip tonight in the Bronx, and we're following all three games against the New York Yankees with previews and free MLB picks.

If the Houston Astros are going to pull off one of the biggest surprises of the 2015 baseball betting campaign by reaching the American League playoffs, they're going to have to start winning on the road. Monday night in New York, Houston gets a chance to prove it is a true contender when the Astros open a series with the Yankees.

New York is a -130 favorite at BetOnline for the 7:05 PM (ET) contest, Nathan Eovaldi getting the start for the Yankees. Scott Feldman toils for Houston with an 8 run total on the MLB betting odds board, a number that could rise to 8½ by first pitch.

Series history between the two teams includes a few early interleague matchups, and it was one-sided in favor of the Yankees who captured 13 of the first 15 meetings. Houston's only victory at old Yankee Stadium was a somewhat bizarre 6-pitcher combined no-hitter, the Astros' biggest highlight as New York built a 17-8 all-time advantage.

The young rivalry has since taken a small turn in Houston's favor with the Astros winning six of the last 10 clashes and taking two of three series along the way. The clubs split a 4-game set at Minute Maid Park back in late-June, 'under' bettors bringing home the bacon three times. Houston won two of three at Yankee Stadium last year, totals also running 2-1 in favor of the low side of the baseball odds.

 

Astros Hoping To Reverse Road Woes
Houston (69-56, +7.4 units) is hitting the road after a nice homestand that saw the Astros win seven of 10, three of the victories coming in extra-inning affairs. It took 10 frames on Sunday to complete a sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers, a series that included a no-hitter by Mike Fiers on Friday followed by beating both Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw.

Life away from Houston has not been as much fun for the Astros who currently own the worst road record of any AL division leader (25-36). They are just 3-9 outside of Houston since the all-star break, and will be spending 16 of the next 22 games living out of suitcases with a stop in Minnesota following this series in the Bronx.

The team has performed well on the road with Feldman on the hill, however, winning three of his last four away assignments and four of seven overall with his ERA nearly 2.5 runs lower when he's not on the mound in Houston. Each of his last three starts ended in an Astros triumph, and he has pitched well recently when facing the Yankees with a 2.65 ERA in his last six goes against them. His only start in New York since joining the Astros was a winner last season against a Yankee team that was a -215 favorite on the MLB odds.

 

Eovaldi In Search Of 14th Win On Season
New York (68-55, +2.0 units) is wrapping up a 10-game homestand with this series against the Astros. The Yankees swept the Twins last week before dropping three of four to the Indians over the weekend, two of those defeats were of the 1-run variety to leave the squad a level 20-20 in single-run decisions on the year.

Eovaldi has emerged as one of manager Joe Girardi's best arms, and a favorite among baseball bettors in building a 13-2 personal record and 16-8 on the MLB moneyline (+8.1 units). One of his victories came against the Astros in Houston as a small road 'dog, the Texas native tossing six and allowing just two runs. That was the first time Eovaldi had faced the Astros since his 2011 rookie season when he hurled six shutout innings of a 1-0 Dodgers win in LA.

Monday looks to be the best chance for weather to mess with the series, but there doesn't appear to be any trouble for tonight's tilt. A muggy 80º with a 7-8 mph southerly breeze (right to left) is the weatherman's best guess for tonight's first pitch, and my free MLB pick is going to be a run line play on New York.

My MLB Pick: Yankees -1½ (+150) at BetOnline
Season: 73-70-2 (+3.20)