MLB Picks: Bet Yankees +107 vs. Orioles

Jeff Grant

Friday, June 28, 2013 1:21 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this American League East matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET. 


The New York Yankees have had baseball’s worst offense for the past three weeks, but they could catch a break in facing a long reliever for the Baltimore Orioles Friday night. 

Scuffling  

New York went 4-5 on its recent nine-game homestand, including a 2-0 setback to the Texas Rangers as +115 underdogs Thursday, while going UNDER the total for the third time in four contests. 

The Yankees are 18-13 versus division opponents, with the UNDER going 15-13-3 in that situation. 

Sitting in second place 

Baltimore alternated wins and losses over its four-game series with the Cleveland Indians, as it picked up a 7-3 victory as -136 home favorites last night, while going OVER the betting odds total for the first time in four contests.

The Orioles are currently in second place in the AL East standings—3.5 games behind the Boston Red Sox and a game ahead of tonight’s opponent.

Phelps

Yankees starting pitcher David Phelps (5-4, 4.01 ERA) has led the club to wins in seven of his last 10 outings, including a 6-2 home victory over the Tampa Bay Rays last time out, as he allowed two runs and eight hits over 5.2 frames. 

The right-hander is 1-2 with a 4.03 ERA in seven road appearances (five starts), with opposing hitters batting .245 against him. 

In six career games (two starts) versus the Orioles, Phelps has compiled a 1-0 record and 4.08 ERA. 

McFarland 

Orioles reliever T.J. McFarland (1-0, 4.14 ERA) is set to make his first MLB start after 18 appearances out of the bullpen, with manager Buck Showalter expecting him to throw about 80 pitches. 

The left-hander is 1-0 with a 4.64 ERA in nine home outings, issuing eight walks and striking out 23 batters in 21.1 combined innings. 

McFarland tossed two shutout innings of relief against the Yankees on the road in his only appearance against them on April 14.

[gameodds]3/237628/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds] 

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Yankees as one of their MLB picks Friday, as they’ve won Phelps’ last six starts versus division opponents, while the Orioles are 29-61 in their last 90 games in this series. 

MLB Pick: New York Yankees +107 at bet365