MLB Picks: Bet on Simon & Reds vs. Pirates

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, June 18, 2014 12:45 PM GMT

The Cincinnati Reds have had the upper hand over the Pittsburgh Pirates this season, which provides them value as road underdogs Wednesday night at PNC Park. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League Central affair.


Dominating the series
Cincinnati has won six of its last seven games against Pittsburgh, including a 6-5 victory as -113 road favorites Tuesday, while going 'over' the betting total for the third time in four contests. The Reds have captured their last four contests at this venue, but it’s important to point out that the squad ranks second-to-last in Major League Baseball with 252 runs scored during the 2014 campaign

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 8-6 as road underdogs of +100 to +125, with the 'under' going 9-5 in that situation.


All about the 2013 NL MVP
Pittsburgh has split its last 10 games, which is a bit surprising, considering outfielder Andrew McCutchen was named National League Player of the Week for his performance from June 8-15. Last year’s Most Valuable Player in the Senior Circuit hit .483 with four home runs and 13 RBIs over that period of time, while he’s gone 4-for-13 with a round tripper in his career versus tonight’s opposing starter. Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is a mediocre 103-99 versus division rivals.


Simon
Reds starting pitcher Alfredo Simon (9-3, 2.95 ERA) has tallied three consecutive wins, including a 4-1 home victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers last week—giving up a single run and seven hits over a season high-tying eight innings of work.The right-hander is 6-1 with a 2.44 ERA in seven road outings, with opposing hitters batting .211 against him (.257 at home).In 15 career games (one start) versus the Pirates, Simon has compiled a 2-3 record and 2.57 ERA, including a 5-2 triumph at this ballpark on April 23.


Volquez
Pirates starting pitcher Edinson Volquez (4-5, 3.89 ERA) has watched the squad alternate wins and losses over his last eight trips to the mound, as he comes off a 4-0 home victory over the Chicago Cubs.The right-hander has put together a 3-3 record and 3.22 ERA in nine home games (eight starts)—issuing 16 walks and striking out 32 batters in 50.1 combined innings.Volquez is 1-1 with a 3.55 ERA in four lifetime starts versus his former team.


Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Reds as one of their MLB picks, as they’ve captured six of Simon’s last seven starts as a road underdog.

Free MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds

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