MLB Picks: Bet Royals +109 In World Series Rematch Against Mets

Jake Walker

Saturday, April 2, 2016 8:48 PM GMT

Saturday, Apr. 2, 2016 8:48 PM GMT

The Kansas City Royals host the New York Mets in a World Series rematch on Sunday Night. The Mets are at -118 on the MLB odds board while the Royals are at +109. The total has been set at 7.

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Game Information
New York Mets (0-0) vs. Kansas City Royals (0-0)
8:37 PM ET, April 3
Kauffman Stadium
Coverage: ESPN
Forecast for Game Time:
72° F/ 22° C 
Clear

 

New York Mets
The Mets have what many consider the best starting rotation in MLB, with Matt Harvey, Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, Steven Matz and Bartolo Colon and they also made a key move for their offense by retaining Yoenis Cespedes. With Cespedes, a healthy David Wright and consistent production from Lucas Duda and Curtis Granderson, the Mets can compete in the NL East, even with Daniel Murphy leaving to the rival Nationals. 

Click & Compare All Props On Offer & World Series Odds

Kansas City Royals
The Royals have been the best team in the American League for the last two years and it seems that their reign atop the competitive AL Central will not end any time soon. Kansas City doesn't have the best pitching or hitting in baseball but their core players know how to win and always come through in clutch situations. Alex Gordon's return is huge because he is the heart and soul of this team along with Lorenzo Cain, Mike Moustakas, Eric Hosmer, Alcides Escobar and Salvador Perez, among others, but this team's long-term success and potential to become a dinasty relies on their pitching, which will be led by Edinson Volquez, Kris Medlen, Chris Young, Yordano Ventura and newcomer Ian Kennedy.

 

Pitching Matchup
Matt Harvey (0-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Edinson Volquez (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
This game features the starting pitchers from Game 1 and the decisive Game 5 of last year's Fall Classic. The Mets will give the ball to Matt Harvey, who has been cleared to pitch after passing blood clots through his bladder. 

Harvey allowed 15 runs in 8. innings over his final three Spring Training starts. The right-hander iss 8-0 with a 2.15 ERA in April, with 77 strikeouts in 67 innings of work.

The Royals will counter with Edinson Volquez, who allowed two runs and five hits, with four strikeouts and two walks over five innings of an 11-3 win against the Padres. Volquez finished Spring Training with a 3.95 ERA after posting a 6.33 ERA in 2015 and a 9.64 ERA in 2014.

 

Betting Trends
The Mets are 29-44 on the road when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons, 21-24 in interleague games over the last 3 seasons and 114-122 in night games over the last 3 seasons.

The Royals are 64-38 when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons, 34-16 at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 3 seasons, 146-106 in night games over the last 3 seasons and 144-98 against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.  

 

Final Analysis
The Mets are favored on the MLB odds board seem to have an edge on paper but the Royals have proven time and time again that they're a team that knows how to win games and they're extremely tough to beat at home. The betting trends favor the Royals and I like them at a value price of +109 for one of my MLB picks. I'm taking Kansas City to start the season with a win while getting ready to challenge for another World Series title. 

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MLB Pick: Royals +109
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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