MLB Picks: Bet Rockies vs. Dodgers to go OVER

Joe Freda

Thursday, July 11, 2013 11:51 AM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 11, 2013 11:51 AM UTC

The Los Angeles Dodgers went 7-2 in their nine-game road trip to start the month of July, while the UNDER cashed at a 5-4 clip. How will they fare against the Colorado Rockies tonight?

Thursday’s MLB betting has Don Mattingly’s club returning home against the Colorado Rockies, with Los Angeles’ Chris Capuano (2-6, 5.19 ERA) facing Colorado’s Drew Pomeranz (0-2, 9.72 ERA). 

Dodgers sweep D-backs

Los Angeles ended its journey with three cashed tickets against the Arizona Diamondbacks, collecting at plus MLB odds each time out. Wednesday night’s finale saw the Dodgers rally in a 14-frame battle for a 7-5 win, with mates Hanley Ramirez and A.J. Ellis cracking late homers. 

Colorado enters Dodger Stadium after going 2-1 with the San Diego Padres, holding on for a 5-4 victory as a 124 road dog in Wednesday’s finish. Rockies outfielder Charlie Blackmon notched two RBIs from the leadoff spot, while reliever Rafael Betancourt anchored four relievers for his 13th save. 

Capuano shelled at Coors Field 

Capuano logged a second straight loss in last Thursday’s 9-5 defeat for Los Angeles as a 118 road dog against the Rockies. The 34-year-old was lit up for five earned runs in 4 1/3 innings, allowing seven hits. 

Dodgers first baseman Adrian Gonzalez poked a homer and double as part of a 4-for-5 night, driving in two of his side’s runs. Los Angeles’ Yasiel Puig and Tim Federowicz left nine men on base, held to a combined 1-for-9 mark at the plate. 

Pomeranz pummeled in short stint

Pomeranz made his second start of the year in Saturday’s 11-1 defeat for Colorado to the Arizona Diamondbacks; spanked as a 155 road dog. The Memphis native allowed five early runs, giving up a homer to Arizona’s Paul Goldschmidt as part of five hits. 

Rockies slugger Carlos Gonzalez hit 4-for-4 in the affair, including his 24th long ball for his squad’s sole run. Colorado’s Joshua Rutledge and Jonathan Herrera each went 0-for-4 from their lineup’s top two spots, with Rutledge striking out twice. 

Check out our Daily Pitching Report from Jeff Grant!~


Back the OVER in L.A. 

Bet365 opened Capuano as a 163 home favorite, with early action on Colorado driving the MLB odds south to minus 160. The ‘total’ opened at a flat eight, followed by a minus 115 tag on the UNDER. 

I am adding the OVER in this duel to Thursday’s sports picks, looking for the series to open with octane. 

Capuano has allowed a whopping 2.05 WHIP and .402 OBP through his five home starts, with the OVER cashing at 3-1-1. Colorado’s Wilin Rosario has two homers in a 3-for-6 career mark facing Capuano, while coming into the series hitting 4-for-8 over his last pair of outings. 

Pomeranz has not settled down yet, giving up three long balls over two short starts (8 1/3 IP). The third-year hurler faces a Dodgers lineup that has hit .266 against southpaws at home, while the OVER is 6-1 in Los Angeles’ last seven home dates against lefty starters. 

The season’s nine meetings between these rivals have seen the OVER cash at a 7-2 clip, including a 3-0 mark in the span’s trio of battles at Dodger Stadium. Look for another explosive matchup here, sailing north of the ‘total’ for OVER backers. 

Free Pick: OVER 8 at Bet365 

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