MLB Picks: Bet Rockies & Braves to go UNDER

Steven Suarez

Monday, July 29, 2013 2:28 PM UTC

Monday, Jul. 29, 2013 2:28 PM UTC

Brandon Beachy makes his long-awaited return to the majors tonight. Will he lead the Braves to a win, or should MLB bettors expect him to falter against the Rockies?

Odds Overview

Atlanta's been fantastic at home, one reason why we find them favored at -140 over Colorado. You can side with the Rockies at roughly +130, depending on the sportsbook you utilize. 

It's been interesting to see where the early money on the game's total has been going. The MLB odds first opened at 7.5, with the OVER getting heavily juiced, but now the UNDER is trading at -115. 

Check out our Monday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Colorado Rockies (De La Rosa) 

This will be Colorado's first road game of the second half after closing out a 10-game home stretch in which they went an even 5-5. 

The Rockies took two of three from the Cubs and Brewers but then lost three of four to the Marlins. They're now 51-55 overall and will be taking a poor 20-29 road record into game one at Turner Field tonight. 

Fortunately, Colorado will have Jorge De La Rosa on the mound to open up the set, and he's been throwing the ball very well. 

The left-hander has surrendered three or fewer runs in eight straight starts, helping lower his earned run average from 3.49 to 2.97. He's 10-5 on the year and has gone 2-1 with a 2.42 ERA in four July starts so far. 

De La Rosa hasn't faced Atlanta since the 2010 season, when he held them to six hits and two runs over seven innings. Colorado will be counting on him to keep them close this evening. 

Atlanta Braves (Beachy)

The Braves just swept the Cardinals in a three-game series at home to push their record to 6-4 after the All-Star break. Overall they're 60-45, while sporting an MLB-best 34-15 mark at home

The rich get richer now with the return of Brandon Beachy. The righty will make his first official MLB start in over a year following elbow surgery in June of 2012.

Beachy's re-appearance couldn't have come at a better time, with Tim Hudson set to miss the rest of the season with a broken right ankle and Paul Maholm also dealing with an injury at the moment.

If you remember, Beachy was tearing it up before going down injured in the 2012 season. He was 5-5 with a 2.00 ERA and 0.96 WHIP and was seemingly a lock to make the All-Star team for the National League.

He's back now and everyone is curious to see how he fares. In seven starts in Triple A, Beachy went 1-4 with a 3.00 ERA, while striking out 26 and walking 18.


MLB Pick 

At first we were looking closely at an alternate run-line pick on Atlanta at home, but in the end we felt as if the better MLB betting value was on the UNDER. De La Rosa's terrific performances of late did enough to sway us. 

There's risk involved in a total play here considering we don't know how Beachy will perform in his season debut. 

However, neither of these offenses have been batting over .250 as a team over the past seven days, so we do think a pitchers duel could be on the cards. With that said, let's add the UNDER 7.5 to our sports picks for the night. 

Pick: UNDER 7.5

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