MLB Picks: Bet Rangers & Astros to go OVER

Jeff Grant

Friday, August 9, 2013 12:26 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 9, 2013 12:26 PM GMT

The Texas Rangers have been playing great baseball of late, and tonight they prepare to open up a three-game series with the Houston Astros. Does this matchup offer any tempting MLB betting angles?


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League West matchup at Minute Maid Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Check out our Friday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Let’s call a meeting

Texas has won nine of its last 10 games since manager Ron Washington called a team meeting on July 28, with the offense scoring 64 runs and hitting .306 with runners in scoring position over that span.

The Rangers are 5-2 as road favorites of -175 or higher the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 5-2 in that situation.

Unable to close things out

Houston is 2-8 over its last 10 games, with most of the blame falling on the shoulders of its bullpen—a group that has compiled a 6.58 ERA since the trade of former closer Jose Veras to the Detroit Tigers on July 29.

The Astros are 6-10 as home underdogs of +150 to +175 this season, with the UNDER going 9-6-1 in that situation. 

Garza

Rangers starting pitcher Matt Garza (7-2, 3.09 ERA) was handed a 4-2 road defeat by the Oakland Athletics last time out, as he allowed four runs and eight hits over eight frames. 

The right-hander is 3-1 with a 2.58 ERA in eight road appearances, with opposing hitters batting .208 against him. 

In seven career efforts versus the Astros, Garza has compiled a 2-3 record and 3.88 ERA, including a 3-1 home victory during his time with the Chicago Cubs on June 21.

Bedard 

Astros starting pitcher Erik Bedard (3-8, 4.29 ERA) has watched the club drop his last six efforts, which is a bit surprising due to posting a 2.82 ERA over his last four appearances in that span.

The left-hander is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA in 10 home games (eight appearances), issuing 27 walks and striking out 57 batters in 51.2 combined frames. 

In 18 career games (17 starts) versus the Rangers, Bedard has gone 5-5 with a 3.51 ERA, including a 5-4 setback on the road on July 7.

[gameodds]3/240929/?r3=43-999997-349/dec&r-1=43-999997-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers place their MLB picks on the total in this affair, as the OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

MLB Pick:  Over 8

comment here