MLB Picks: Bet Phillies vs. Cardinals 'Under' 8

Joe Freda

Thursday, July 25, 2013 1:57 PM UTC

Thursday, Jul. 25, 2013 1:57 PM UTC

The St. Louis Cardinals have cashed two straight tickets over the Philadelphia Phillies, outscoring their visiting foes by a combined margin of 15-4.

Thursday’s MLB betting has two righties dueling in the set’s finale, with St. Louis’ Lance Lynn (11-5, 4.13 ERA) facing Philadelphia’s Kyle Kendrick (9-6, 3.94 ERA). 

Cards, Robinson cruise at home

Cardinals outfielder Shane Robinson belted a three-run triple as part of Wednesday’s 11-3 win for St. Louis, giving his club a 9-1 lead in the fifth frame. St. Louis’ Matt Adams and Yadier Molina united to hit 5-for-9, with Adams notching three RBIs.

Philadelphia’s Michael Young was held to a 0-for-4 night, while his mates went on to finish with nine hits. Phillies outfielder John Mayberry poked his side’s sole extra-base hit with an RBI-double, driving in Laynce Nix.

Lynn falls as hefty ‘chalk’

Lynn logged his fourth loss in five starts with Saturday’s 5-3 defeat for St. Louis to the San Diego Padres, failing to cash as a 210 home favorite. The 26-year-old allowed four runs over five frames, giving up six hits and three walks.

Cardinals mates Matt Carpenter and Carlos Beltran were held to a combined 0-for-7, with Beltran leaving three men on base. St. Louis’ Allen Craig poked a two-run single from the cleanup spot, finishing 1-for-4.

Kendrick prevails in slugfest 

Kendrick came away with his second straight win in Friday’s 13-8 triumph for Philadelphia over the New York Mets, cashing for my followers as a 108 road dog. The 28-year-old allowed six runs on nine hits, while tossing seven strikeouts over 5 2/3 innings.

Philadelphia jumped out to an early 11-0 lead, capping the surge with a three-run homer from Michael Young. The Phillies edged out the Mets in hits, 15-12, with mates Domonic Brown and Delmon Young both notching 3-for-5 nights.


Back the UNDER on Thursday

Bet365 opened Lynn as a 171 home favorite, while initial wagers on Philadelphia dropped the MLB odds to minus 165. The ‘total’ was first set at a flat eight, with early action on the UNDER moving its tag to minus 130.

I am agreeing with the matchup’s betting ‘steam,’ adding the UNDER in this spot to Thursday’s sports picks.

Lynn should be in position to settle down here, while allowing just one long ball at Busch Stadium over 64 IP. The UNDER is 3-0 in the righty’s last three home starts, holding foes to seven earned runs over 18 frames of action.

Kendrick’s latest start was a loose affair, but a tighter outing should come here without the sense of an 11-0 lead. The Houston native held his own in April’s matchup against the Cardinals, giving up two runs over six frames.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Philadelphia’s last five spots that came after allowing five or more runs in the team’s prior outing. Umpire Andy Fletcher is slated behind home plate, with the UNDER collecting at 3-1-1 in his last five called games.

Look for the octane to drop again here, getting the money for UNDER backers in a close contest down the stretch.

Free Pick: UNDER 8 at Bet365

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