MLB Picks: Bet Phillies +105 vs. Nationals Monday

Jeff Grant

Monday, July 8, 2013 1:49 PM GMT

Monday, Jul. 8, 2013 1:49 PM GMT

The Philadelphia Phillies are the only team that Washington Nationals starting pitcher Dan Haren has never beaten in his career, which is important to consider when making your MLB picks.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League East matchup at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Follow our MLB Picks & Series Coverage for the Nationals & Phillies set.

Starting to put things together 

Washington went 5-2 on its recently completed seven-game homestand, which ended with an 11-7 victory over the San Diego Padres as -230 favorites Sunday, while going OVER the total for a fourth consecutive contest.

The Nationals are 15-15 against division opponents this season, with the OVER going 16-13-1 in that situation. 

Meeting produces a victory 

Philadelphia has compiled a disappointing 43-46 record and sits 7.5 games back of the Atlanta Braves in the division, which is one of the main reasons for general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. to call a team meeting before Sunday’s game. 

The Phillies responded by picking up a 7-3 victory over the Atlanta Braves as +138 home underdogs, while going OVER the betting total for a fifth consecutive affair.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise has gone 31-23 in July, including a 4-2 mark through six games in that situation in 2013. 

Haren 

Nationals starting pitcher Dan Haren (4-9, 6.15 ERA) has watched the club drop his last eight efforts, including a 7-1 setback at home to the Colorado Rockies on June 22, as he allowed six runs and seven hits over 3.1 frames. 

The right-hander is 1-6 with a 5.79 ERA in eight road games, surrendering 11 home runs in 46.2 combined innings. 

In six career starts versus the Phillies, Haren has tallied an 0-3 record and 5.82 ERA, including a no-decision result in a 5-3 home loss on May 25.

Lannan 

Phillies starting pitcher John Lannan (1-3, 5.15 ERA) suffered a 6-5 road loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out, as he allowed four runs and a season-high 11 hits over five innings of work. 

The left-hander is 0-1 with a 4.76 ERA in three home appearances, with opposing hitters batting .288 against him, but has yet to surrender a home run in 17 frames.

Lannan didn’t earn a decision in his first career start against his former team, but the Phillies came away with a 5-4 win over the Nationals on June 17, as he gave up two runs and six hits over five innings. 

[gameodds]3/238274/?r3=43-198-349/dec&r-1=43-198-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Phillies as one of their MLB picks Monday, as they’ve won seven of their last eight games versus a starting pitcher with a WHIP greater than 1.30. 

MLB Pick:  Philadelphia Phillies +105 at Bet365

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