MLB Picks: Bet Nationals & Rockies to go 'Under'

Joe Freda

Wednesday, June 12, 2013 11:54 AM GMT

Find out why we believe that the total holds the best value for our MLB picks in tonight's matchup between the Washington Nationals and the Colorado Rockies.

The Colorado Rockies moved to 5-2 in their last seven games with Tuesday’s 8-3 home victory over the Washington Nationals, collecting at minus 154 MLB odds. Wednesday’s rematch has Rockies southpaw Jorge De La Rosa (7-3, 3.38 ERA) slated to oppose Nationals righty Ross Ohlendorf, who makes his first start of the year.

Check out our Wednesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Rockies, Colvin pull away 

Colorado’s Tyler Colvin homered twice in Tuesday’s win, uniting with outfielder Carlos Gonzalez for seven RBIs. Rockies leadoff man Dexter Fowler poked a double in his 1-for-4 night, while he and his mates finished with 14 hits. 

Washington’s Adam LaRoche and Kurt Suzuki were held to a combined 1-for-8, leaving seven men on base between them. Nationals reliever Drew Storen allowed three late runs, lifting the ‘total’ to 11 and giving UNDER backers a ‘push.’  

De La Rosa collects as ‘chalk’ 

De La Rosa picked up a no-decision in Friday’s 10-9 victory for Colorado over the San Diego Padres, cashing as a 153 home favorite. The Monterrey native gave up 11 hits over five innings, allowing four earned runs. 

Colorado’s Carlos Gonzalez and Todd Helton drove in three runs each, while third baseman Nolan Arenado cracked a walkoff solo shot for the team’s triumph. Rockies reliever Matt Belisle tossed two scoreless frames to record his staff’s win, while he and his mates were edged in hits, 17-16.

Ohlendorf called up for start 

Ohlendorf began his season with Triple-A’s Syracuse Chiefs, logging a 2-4 record with a 4.50 ERA over nine starts. Friday’s most recent duel saw the seventh-year hurler notch a no-decision, holding the Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders to one hit in five frames of action.

Ohlendorf spent last year with the San Diego Padres, coming away with a no-decision in his sole start against Colorado. The 30-year-old allowed two runs over 6 2/3 innings, giving up five hits en route to six strikeouts.

[gameodds]3/236248/43/us[/gameodds] 

Back the UNDER on Wednesday 

MLB odds opened De La Rosa as a 160 home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at a flat 11. The weather forecast in Colorado calls for an 85 degree night, with calm winds blowing outward. 

I am adding the UNDER to my MLB picks in this duel, looking for bats to cool down after Tuesday’s opener. 

De La Rosa has surrendered just one homer over his six starts at Coors Field (34 1/3 IP), with the UNDER cashing at 4-2 in that span. Washington’s Adam LaRoche has been held to a career mark of 3-for-13 against the lefty, while the Nationals have hit just .199 facing southpaws on the road.

Ohlendorf has looked solid enough in his minor league starts to hold the fort down here, allowing just two homers in his last 36 1/3 frames of action. The veteran has logged 27 strikeouts over his most recent three outings, with just nine hits given up in that stretch (17 1/3 IP). 

The UNDER is 9-2-1 in Washington’s last 12 games that followed a spot of giving up five or more runs, while going 8-3-1 in Colorado’s last dozen affairs that came after a victory. Look for the UNDER to collect again here, plunging below the matchup’s lofty ‘total.’

MLB Picks: UNDER 11 at Bet365