MLB Picks: Bet Nationals +105 vs. Orioles in First 5 Innings

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 29, 2013 11:58 AM GMT

The Washington Nationals have won Jordan Zimmerman’s last four outings as an underdog, as they prepare to take on the Baltimore Orioles Wednesday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this interleague matchup at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Check out our Wednesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Out of the yard 

Washington powered its way to a 9-3 victory over Baltimore as +102 road underdogs Tuesday, while going OVER the total for a fifth consecutive contest. The team hit four home runs in the affair—accounting for seven of the nine runs. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Nationals are 24-16 versus American League opponents, with the OVER owning a slight 19-18-3 advantage. 

Returning home 

Baltimore went 3-3 on its six-game road trip, with each game climbing above the betting total. Offensively, the team is hitting .300 over its last 10 games, which has led to an average of 5.0 runs per game. 

The Orioles are 20-17 versus right-handed starters this season, while total players have benefited in playing the OVER in that situation (23-12 Over/Under).

Zimmerman

Nationals starting pitcher Jordan Zimmerman (8-2, 1.71 ERA) picked up a 5-2 home victory over the Philadelphia Phillies last time out, as he allowed two runs and six hits over seven frames. 

The right-hander is 3-2 with a 1.91 ERA in five road outings, issuing just four walks and striking out 29 batters on 37.2 combined innings, while allowing opponents to hit just .193 against him. 

In four career games versus the Orioles, Zimmerman has tallied a 1-2 record and 2.70 ERA, including an 0-2 mark and 2.70 ERA in two appearances at this ballpark.

Tillman 

Orioles starting pitcher Chris Tillman (4-2, 3.68 ERA) came away with a 10-6 road victory over the Toronto Blue Jays in his last outing, as he allowed three runs and 10 hits over five innings. 

The right-hander is 1-2 with a 4.46 ERA in six home starts, as he’s allowed eight home runs in 34.1 combined frames. 

Tillman didn’t earn a decision in his only career effort versus the Nationals on May 22, 2011, but the Orioles did come away with a 2-1 home victory. He surrendered just a single run and six hits over five innings in that affair.

[gameodds]3/228251/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Nationals in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Wednesday, as they’ve gone 20-6 in Zimmerman’s last 26 starts overall, while the Orioles are 0-4 in their last four interleague games as a favorite. 

MLB Pick: Washington Nationals +105 First Five Innings at Bet365