MLB Picks: Bet Mets vs. Nationals on the Under

Joe Freda

Thursday, June 6, 2013 12:00 PM GMT

The New York Mets and Washington Nationals will crash into each-other again in Nationals Park. After a 10-1 ousting last night, how should we lay our money today?

The New York Mets ended a four-game skid of losses with Wednesday’s 10-1 spanking of the Washington Nationals, cashing for my followers as 140 road dogs. Thursday night’s rubber finale has Nationals left-hander Gio Gonzalez (3-3, 3.64 ERA) slated against Mets righty Shaun Marcum (0-6, 5.71 ERA).

Mets, Byrd pull away as dogs

Mets outfielder Marlon Byrd cracked a pair of homers in Wednesday’s win, uniting with mate Anthony Recker to drive in three runs each. New York’s Daniel Murphy and Juan Lagares  combined to hit 5-for-9, including Murphy’s 19th double of the year.

Washington’s Ian Desmond logged his side’s sole RBI, while the Nationals were edged out in hits, 15-10. Nationals outfielder Denard Span went 2-for-5 from the leadoff spot, while mate Jayson Werth left five men on base from the No. 2 hole.

Gonzalez outdueled in Atlanta

Gonzalez came away with a fourth no-decision in five starts in Saturday’s 2-1 defeat for Washington as a 135 road dog against the Atlanta Braves. The two-time All-Star allowed three hits over seven innings, giving up one run.

Nationals relievers Drew Storen and Fernando Abad united to hold Atlanta scoreless in the eighth and ninth frames, while mate Henry Rodriguez recorded his staff’s loss in the 10th inning. Washington’s lineup was held to five hits, with outfielders Steve Lombardozzi and Danny Espinosa both logging 0-for-4 nights.

Marcum continues sliding season

Marcum picked up his sixth loss in Friday’s 5-1 setback for New York to the Miami Marlins, failing to collect as a 156 road favorite. The 31-year-old gave up four runs in 6 2/3 innings, allowing seven hits and two walks.

Mets shortstop Omar Quintanilla hit 2-for-4 at the top of his side’s order, while logging the game’s sole error. New York’s David Wright struck out twice in a 0-for-4 outing, with the matchup’s combined six runs dipping UNDER the ‘total’ of 7 ½.

Get our Thursday Betting Lines Report right here!

[gameodds]3/228804/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Back the UNDER in Washington

Bet365 opened Gonzalez as a 183 favorite, with early wagers on the southpaw lifting the MLB odds to 186. The ‘total’ was first posted at seven, with the OVER’s premium moving to minus 125.

I am adding the UNDER in this duel to Thursday’s sports picks, looking for a tight finale between these starters.

Gonzalez has had stingy numbers over his six home starts, giving up a 1.04 WHIP and .260 OBP. The Hialeah native has surrendered just one homer in the span’s last three outings (20 2/3 IP), while the UNDER has cashed at 9-3-1 in Gonzalez’ last 13 starts against clubs with losing records.

Marcum has not faced the Nationals since last September’s battle while still with the Milwaukee Brewers, holding Davey Johnson’s crew to two runs over six innings. The UNDER has cashed at 4-0 in the hurler’s last four starts, while going 5-1 in the Mets’ last six spots that followed a victory.

Umpire Tim McClelland has seen UNDER backers collect at 4-3-2 in his last nine called games, while the same wager has cashed at 4-1 in Washington’s last five matchups against right-handed starters. Look for the UNDER to get the money for our baseball picks again here, adding to a 10-4 trend in the Mets’ last 14 spots with the ‘total’ set between seven and 8 ½.

MLB Pick: UNDER 7 at Bet365