MLB Picks: Bet on LA Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, July 8, 2014 2:09 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jul. 8, 2014 2:09 PM UTC

The Tigers will try to avoid a fourth straight loss when they play host to Hyun-Jin Ryu and the Dodgers this evening. Though Detroit is holding an appealing line at home, we're not too confident in backing them with our sports picks for tonight.

Odds Overview
Most everywhere you look, the Tigers are favored in the -110 to -115 range, with the Dodgers listed at right around +105.

If you're wanting to make a play on the game's total, the number is currently at 8.5, with the OVER getting juiced at time of this writing. It's a pretty high O/U considering the amount of success these two pitchers have had in the past.

Los Angeles Dodgers (Ryu)
It's got to be a fun time to be a Dodgers fan right now. They've closed out the first half of the season in style and look destined to head into the All-Star Break at the summit of the NL West.

A significant reason why LA is where they are is because of their stellar road performances. The Dodgers have gone an amazing 29-17 away from home, the best record in all of baseball.

And, with the way Hyun-Jin Ryu's been pitching, the road team in tonight's matchup will definitely be liking their chances. Though the left-hander doesn't have the most sparkling overall numbers, he's still been incredibly solid at 9-4 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.

Recently Ryu has been as consistent as they come. He's coming off a solid month of June in which he went 3-2 with a 3.19 ERA in five starts and started off July by holding Cleveland to two runs over seven innings (7.0 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 0 BB, 8 K) in a loss.

On the hitting side of things, the Dodgers have done well lately, hitting .292 as a team over the last week. Dee Gordon (.455 in 22 at-bats) has been the standout, with Juan Uribe, Andre Ethier, A.J Ellis and Hanley Ramirez all hitting over .300 as well.

Detroit Tigers (Verlander)
After sweeping the Athletics at home, the Tigers were expected to keep momentum going against the Rays, but that's not exactly what happened.

Detroit ended up losing three of four against Tampa Bay over the weekend, with the offense not having any luck getting anything going against David Price, Chris Archer and Alex Cobb.

Now it's the Dodgers that come to town for two games, with Justin Verlander slated as tonight's starter and Max Scherzer set to take the hill tomorrow for the home team.

Verlander has settled down after some shaky starts in June, a month in which he failed to notch a winning decision and posted a terrible 6.82 ERA in five outings. The right-hander has been more reliable over the last couple of weeks though, surrendering three or less runs in three consecutive starts.

Detroit has been swinging the bats pretty well, batting .267 as a team over the last week. Torii Hunter (.435), J.D. Martinez (.391) and Rajai Davis (.313) have looked the most dangerous at the plate, though it's been a struggle for slugger Miguel Cabrera (.211).

MLB Pick
A couple factors go in LA's favor for tonight's series opener. We've already talked about great the Dodgers have been out on the road. They've seemed to relish performing in tough environments and it's not like the Tigers (23-22) have been anything special at Comerica Park.

Then there's the pitching matchup, which favors LA in a big way. Verlander has been decent lately but still hasn't been nearly as dominant as he's been over the years, while Ryu enters having allowed three or fewer runs in six of his last seven appearances. He's also 6-1 with a 1.62 ERA in six road starts this season. Put it all together and we can't help but feel we're getting a great price on the Dodgers as our MLB betting pick.
Pick: Dodgers +105

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