MLB Picks: Bet Indians vs. Rangers to go 'Under'

Joe Freda

Tuesday, June 11, 2013 12:43 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jun. 11, 2013 12:43 PM UTC

Find out why we are adding the 'Under' to our MLB picks in tonight's matchup between the Cleveland Indians and the Texas Rangers.

The Texas Rangers notched a 6-3 victory in Monday’s opener with the Cleveland Indians, rallying to cash as a 142 home favorite. Tuesday’s MLB slate has Rangers southpaw Derek Holland (5-2, 2.82 ERA) listed as heavy ‘chalk’ against Indians righty Corey Kluber (3-4, 4.56 ERA).

Check out our Tuesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report.

Berkman, Rangers top Indians

Texas erased an early 3-1 deficit en route to Monday’s triumph, pulling away with three runs in the seventh inning. Rangers slugger Lance Berkman drilled a homer as part of a 2-for-4 night, while outfielder Nelson Cruz poked a double to score Adrian Beltre.

Cleveland’s early runs were driven in by first baseman Carlos Santana, who doubled to deep right. Indians mates Michael Bourn and Mark Reynolds were both held to 0-for-4 outings, striking out three times each. 

Rangers closer Joe Nathan logged his 20th save of the year, uniting with relievers Robbie Ross and Tanner Scheppers to allow no hits over the final three frames. The contest’s combined nine runs ducked UNDER the ‘total’ of 10 ½, with Texas edging the Indians in hits, 10-5. 

Holland left without win 

Holland came away with a no-decision in Thursday’s 6-3 defeat for Texas as a 126 road dog against the Boston Red Sox. The 26-year-old allowed two runs on nine hits, lasting six innings. 

Rangers reliever Michael Kirkman logged his staff’s loss, giving up a walkoff homer to Boston’s David Ortiz. Texas’ Adrian Beltre went 3-for-4 in the cleanup spot, while Rangers catcher A.J. Pierzynski poked a pair of doubles. 

Kluber goes six in New York 

Kluber picked up a fourth loss in seven starts with Wednesday’s 6-4 defeat for Cleveland to the New York Yankees, failing to cash as a 162 road dog. The Alabama native went six frames, giving up two homers as part of seven hits allowed.

Cleveland’s Jason Kipnis and Nick Swisher drove in one run each, while catcher Yan Gomes cracked his sixth long ball of the year. Indians outfielder Michael Bourn logged the game’s sole error, resulting in a pair of unearned runs for New York.


Back the UNDER on Tuesday 

Holland opened as a 168 home favorite at Bet365, with early wagers on the ‘chalk’ lifting the MLB odds to 180. The ‘total’ was first listed at a flat 9 ½, followed by a minus 115 premium added to the OVER. 

I am adding a ticket on the UNDER for Tuesday’s free MLB picks, looking for both starters to hold their own here. 

Holland has held foes to three homers over five home starts (34 2/3 IP), with a .300 OBP. The UNDER has cashed at 4-1 in that stretch, despite 5.6 RPG of scoring support from his own club. 

Kluber has allowed eight earned runs over his last 18 2/3 frames of road action, while tossing 23 strikeouts. The third-year hurler has not faced much of the Rangers’ lineup yet, but has held slugger A.J. Pierzynski to a 1-for-5 career mark. 

The UNDER is 5-1 in Texas’ last six home games against a right-handed starter, while the wager has gone 6-1-1 in the club’s last eight spots against foes with losing records. Umpire Mark Wegner has seen the UNDER collect at a 7-1 clip over his last eight called games, with the span's contests averaging a combined 5.8 RPG. 

Look for the UNDER to collect again here, with the octane staying low enough again in Arlington. 

MLB Picks:  UNDER 9 ½ at Bet365

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