MLB Picks: Bet Indians +120 vs. Orioles

Joe Freda

Monday, June 24, 2013 11:44 AM GMT

The Cleveland Indians and Baltimore Orioles open a four-game set as part of Monday’s MLB betting. Lets Tear apart the matchup and lines to come out with our MLB picks on this one.

Indians right-hander Ubaldo Jimenez (5-4, 4.66 ERA) will be opposing Orioles southpaw Zach Britton (1-1, 5.56 ERA). Cleveland heads east after a 6-3 mark in last week’s homestand, while going 3-1 over its four matchups in Baltimore, last year. 

Indians hot, Orioles swept 

Cleveland is 4-1 in its last five games, outscoring rivals by a combined 26-19 margin. Baltimore returns home after being swept this weekend by the Toronto Blue Jays, capped off with Sunday’s 13-5 spanking at Rogers Centre.

Last year’s trio of victories in Baltimore for the Indians saw all three tickets cash at a plus price, with the sole defeat by one run, 9-8. The OVER collected at 2-1-1, with both teams combining for a sizable 12.5 RPG. 

Britton wins in Detroit 

Britton cashed as a 190 road dog in Tuesday’s 5-2 victory for Baltimore over the Detroit Tigers. The 25-year-old was called up from Triple-A’s Norfolk Tides for the start, allowing one run over 5 1/3 innings. 

Orioles relievers Tommy Hunter and Jim Johnson notched a hold and save, respectively, holding the Tigers to one hit over the final two frames. Baltimore’s Adam Jones and J.J. Hardy brought in all five of their side’s runs, both drilling homers in a combined 4-for-8 night. 

Jimenez stingy at home 

Jimenez came away with a no-decision on the same night, following Cleveland’s rally in a 4-3 victory over the Kansas City Royals. The Dominican Republic native allowed two runs in 5 2/3 frames, cashing as a minus 103 home choice. 

Cleveland’s Jason Kipnis and Michael Brantley brought in their club’s tying and go-ahead runs, respectively. Indians reliever Cody Allen picked up his staff’s win, while mate Vinnie Pestano closed the affair for his season’s second save. 

Back the Indians as road dogs 

Bet365 opened Britton as a 130 home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at nine (OVER minus 125). The weather forecast in Baltimore calls for an 88 degree night, with a 50 percent chance of thunderstorms. 

I am adding a ticket on Jimenez and Cleveland for Monday’s sports picks, looking for Terry Francona’s club to steal the opener at a plus price. 

Jimenez has held foes to a respectable .288 OBP over his seven road starts, with the Indians cashing at a 5-2 clip in that span. The righty has allowed just seven earned runs in the last 28 IP of the span, while Cleveland’s three wins last year at Camden Yards brought the club to a 7-3 mark in their last 10 road meetings against Baltimore. 

Britton faces an Indians lineup that has hit .279 against left-handed pitching away from home. Cleveland’s Carlos Santana and Ryan Raburn have poked one double each in a combined 4-for-5 career mark against Britton’s arm, while Jason Kipnis is 2-for-3 and comes in hitting a hot 6-for-8 over his last two games. 

Baltimore is 2-5 in its last seven matchups against right-handed starters, while going 3-7 in Britton’s last 10 home starts against clubs with winning records. Look for the Orioles to come up short again here, with Cleveland piling up early runs for a cashed ticket. 

MLB Pick: Cleveland Indians +120 at Bet365

[gameodds]3/237118/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

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