MLB Picks:Bet Harvey & Mets +130 Over Cardinals

Joe Freda

Thursday, June 13, 2013 12:10 PM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 13, 2013 12:10 PM UTC

The New York Mets evened their set with the St. Louis Cardinals, cashing as 168 home dogs with Wednesday’s 5-1 victory.

Thursday afternoon’s rubber finale has a marquee duel of righties slated, with St. Louis’ Adam Wainwright (9-3, 2.34 ERA) listed to face New York’s Matt Harvey (5-0, 2.10 ERA).

Mets, Wright hold off Cardinals

Mets third baseman David Wright poked a homer and double in Tuesday’s triumph, while outfielder Lucas Duda drove in a pair of runs with a 2-for-3 night. New York’s relief crew of Scott Rice, Brandon Lyon and Bobby Parnell united to allow no hits over the final 2 1/3 frames. 

Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina had his side’s hottest bat with a 3-for-4 outing, drilling two doubles. St. Louis’ Allen Craig logged his squad’s sole RBI from the cleanup spot, while mates David Freese and Pete Kozma were held to 0-for-4 nights, each leaving three men on base. 

Wainwright stays hot in Cincy

Wainwright notched a fourth straight win with Friday’s 9-2 victory as a 129 road favorite against the Cincinnati Reds. The 31-year-old allowed both of Cincinnati’s runs, giving up seven hits over seven innings.

Cardinals slugger Matt Holliday cracked two of his side’s seven doubles, while Matt Carpenter and Jon Jay united for three RBIs. The lopsided affair’s combined 11 runs flew OVER the ‘total’ of eight, with St. Louis edging out the Reds in hits, 16-8.

Harvey goes seven at home 

Harvey picked up an eighth no-decision in nine starts with Saturday’s 2-1 defeat for New York to the Miami Marlins, failing to collect as 213 home ‘chalk.’ The Connecticut native held Miami to one run on six hits, lasting for seven frames of a lengthy 20-inning affair.

New York went through seven relievers, with Shaun Marcum logging the staff’s loss after allowing the Marlins’ go-ahead run. Mets mates Omar Quintilla and Daniel Murphy both went 1-for-9 from their lineup’s top two spots, while outfielder Marlon Byrd left six men on base in a 0-for-4 day. 

Don't forget to check out Mr. Steven Suarez' Betting Lines and Odds Report for Thursday, here.

Back the Mets as home dogs

Bet365 opened Wainwright as a 114 road favorite, followed by early action on the veteran lifting the MLB odds to minus 140. The ‘total’ was first listed at 6 ½, with initial UNDER wagers shifting its premium to minus 125.

I am going against the steam’ here, backing Harvey and the Mets as home dogs in this finale for my MLB picks.

Harvey has had stingy numbers at Citi Field, holding foes to a 0.82 WHIP and .222 OBP over his eight outings. New York has cashed at 5-3 in that span, with a pair of the defeats by just one run.

Wainwright fell to the Mets in May’s 5-2 defeat as a 236 home favorite, moving St. Louis to 0-4 in the hurler’s last four starts against New York. Last season’s pair of outings saw Wainwright surrender 12 runs over a combined 11 1/3 IP, failing to cash as ‘chalk’ each time out.

Wainwright takes the hill with a sizable 1.23 WHIP away from home, giving up 34 hits over the span’s last four road starts. St. Louis is 3-7 in its last 10 road matchups against the Mets, making Mike Matheny’s club an overvalued choice as ‘chalk’ here.

Look for a tight affair in this finale, with the Mets edging out St. Louis down the stretch to cash at a plus price.

Free Picks: New York Mets +130 at Bet365

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