The NL West is featured as the Giants and Rockies open up the first of a four-game set. Let’s find out where the value lies in our MLB picks tonight.
Swinging Johnson – MLB Record (4-3, -1.83 units)
*Games assigned 1 to 5 units.
We gassed last time out of the blocks backing John Lackey of Boston over the surprising Kevin Correia of Minnesota. It’s a game the Red Sox should never have lost – check that – a game we should never have lost. Big ‘ol John “I lack a brain” literally threw the game away in the sixth inning when he fielded a ground ball and spun to throw the man out at second. Unfortunately he tossed it to the centerfielder as the flood gates opened and the Twins scored four runs in that inning to lock up a 5-3 victory.
So we are 4-3 and down almost two units with our sports picks, so let’s dust ourselves off and get back to doing what we do best, bullshitting with our buddies in a barroom while we watch the games. Oh but before that, let’s peruse the MLB odds and find a winner dammit!
Get in on the discussion about this games outcome in our MLB Handicapping forum.
San Francisco (23-17, +3.1 units)
The Giants got waxed in Toronto by scores of 10-6 and 11-3 to begin their six-game road swing. They are hoping that Matty Cain continues to shake off the doppelganger that infiltrated his pitching arm at the beginning of the season. Before his last two starts Cain was 0-2 with a 6.49 ERA, getting hammered each time he took the hill.
But then came May with the flowers blooming and the birds chirping. It’s been a different Matt Cain since then as he has won both his starts and allowed only three runs on eight hits in 15 1/3 innings of work. Now that Cain is rounding into form, he should be heartened that tonight’s start is against a team he has absolutely punished, the Colorado Rockies. Cain is 7-1 with a 2.79 ERA in his last 10 starts when facing the Rocks.
Colorado Rockies (21-19, +3.7 units)
The Rockies are licking their wounds after their disappointing road trip which culminated in a 6-3 loss last night at the hands of the Cubs. They are hoping a return to their home base will rejuvenate the club who has prospered at Coors Field, going 11-7 and picking up +3.6 units for their backers.
One player they don’t like seeing is former Rockie Marco Scutaro who was with Colorado for a cup of coffee last year until he was dealt to the Giants. Since then, Scutaro has made it his mission to silence all who doubted him (go with me on this, I’m making it out like Scutaro is avenging his family’s honor over this trade but it kind of feels that way!) in Colorado by helping his new team win 14 of 16 games and hitting .418 with 13 RBI’s when facing his old team. Perhaps a letter of apology is forthcoming from Rockies brass?
Me loves the Giants in this spot. Cain is back and he dominates Colorado. Hell, the entire Giants team dominates Colorado as they have won their last nine in a row and looking for number ten tonight. On the flipside, you have the Rockies sending Jhoulys Chacin to the mound this evening and he has not fared well against San Francisco. He is 0-3 (the team is 0-5) over his last five starts against the Giants with an ERA above five.
Looking at the odds Thursday night, this just may be the best value for our MLB picks on the board.MLB Picks: Play San Francisco -108 for 5 units (Max Play) at Bet365.com