MLB Picks: Bet Giants +102 vs. Blue Jays

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, May 15, 2013 1:39 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 15, 2013 1:39 PM GMT

The San Francisco Giants have won four of Ryan Vogelsong’s last five interleague starts, as they meet up with the Toronto Blue Jays Wednesday night. 


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League versus National League matchup at the Rogers Center, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:07 p.m. ET.

Check out our Wednesday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Unable to recover

San Francisco was unable to recover after allowing six runs in the first inning Tuesday, as it suffered a 10-6 loss to Toronto as +125 road underdogs, while going OVER the total for the fourth time in five contests. 

The Giants are 8-5 after allowing 10 or more runs the last two-plus seasons, with the UNDER going 11-2 in that situation. 

Five is the key number 

Toronto is averaging 5.87 runs over its last 10 games, while it has compiled a perfect 12-0 record when plating five or more runners since the start of the 2013 MLB campaign. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the Blue Jays are 5-4 after scoring eight or more runs in two straight games, while the UNDER is 5-3-1 in those nine opportunities.

Vogelsong

Giants starting pitcher Ryan Vogelsong (1-3, 7.78 ERA) has watched the club alternate wins and losses over his first seven outings this season, as he comes off a 6-3 home loss to the Atlanta Braves last time out, allowing six runs and seven hits over 4.1 frames.

The right-hander is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA in three road outings, surrendering five home runs in 18 combined innings, while opposing hitters are batting .292 against him. 

Vogelsong will be making his first-ever appearance versus the Blue Jays.

Ortiz

Blue Jays starting pitcher Ramon Ortiz (0-1, 3.24 ERA) will be making his third appearance (second start), as he suffered a 5-0 road loss to the Boston Red Sox last time out, allowing just a single run on four hits over five innings. 

The right-hander is 2-0 with a 5.17 ERA in three career games (two starts) versus the Giants, but he hasn’t faced them since 2006.

In 34 career appearances (23 starts) indoors, Ortiz has tallied a losing 7-11 record and 5.61 ERA. 

[gameodds]3/226661/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Giants as one of their MLB picks Wednesday, as they’ve gone 12-5 in Vogelsong’s last 17 starts following a team loss, while the Blue Jays have dropped their last four home games versus right-handed starters.

If both starters struggle early, San Francisco’s bullpen will likely be the difference, especially with long reliever Chad Gaudin’s success versus some of Toronto’s best hitters.

MLB Pick:  San Francisco Giants +102

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