MLB Picks: Bet Dodgers vs. Cardinals Under the Total

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, August 7, 2013 12:41 PM GMT

Los Angeles Dodgers starting pitcher Ricky Nolasco has fared well against the St. Louis Cardinals recently, but he may struggle in umpire Jeff Nelson’s strike zone Wednesday.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League matchup, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Read today's Daily Pitching Report first for a breakdown of the day's pitching matchups.

Time to start another streak

Los Angeles had its 15-game road winning streak snapped Tuesday, as it suffered a 5-1 defeat to St. Louis as -143 favorites, while going ‘Under’ the betting total for a fifth consecutive contest.

The Dodgers are 6-6 as road underdogs of +125 to +150 this season, with the ‘Under’ going 7-5 in that situation.

Falling into a pattern

St. Louis has alternated wins and losses over its last five games, as it sits two games back of the Pittsburgh Pirates in the NL Central standings.

The Cardinals are 4-2 as home favorites of -125 to -150, but they’ve dropped nine of 13 games against teams with a winning record in the second half of the season.

Nolasco

Dodgers starting pitcher Rickey Nolasco (7-9, 3.78 ERA) has tallied a 2-1 record and 3.54 ERA since joining after being acquired from the Miami Marlins, with opposing hitters batting .248 against him.

In 10 career games (nine starts) versus the Cardinals, Nolasco has gone 2-4 with a 4.18 ERA, including a 2-0 mark and 0.46 ERA in his last three efforts.

Miller

Cardinals starting pitcher Shelby Miller (11-7, 2.89 ERA) earned a 13-3 road victory over the Cincinnati Reds last time out, as he allowed three runs and five hits over five frames.

The right-hander is a dominating 6-2 with a 1.74 ERA in 10 home outings, issuing just 14 walks and striking out 71 batters in 61 combined innings.

In two lifetime appearances (one start) versus the Dodgers, Miller is 1-0 with a 4.26 ERA—picking up a 5-3 road victory on May 26.

[gameodds]3/240765/?r-1=349-43-192/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers add the total to their MLB picks, as the ‘Over’ is 4-1 in Nolasco’s five career starts with umpire Jeff Nelson behind home plate.

MLB Pick: Bet Dodgers/Cardinals game OVER 7.5 runs, at William Hill

Looking for a breakdown on today's games? Read our Daily MLB Betting Lines & Odds Report!