MLB picks: Bet Diamondbacks +129 vs. Braves

Joe Freda

Sunday, June 30, 2013 12:57 PM GMT

Sunday, Jun. 30, 2013 12:57 PM GMT

The Atlanta Braves moved to 4-1 in their last five games with Saturday’s 11-5 triumph over the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Sunday afternoon’s finale between the foes has Braves left-hander Paul Maholm (8-6, 3.75 ERA) slated to meet Diamondbacks righty Trevor Cahill (3-9, 4.29 ERA). Let's break it down for our MLB picks.

Braves, Heyward pile in runs 

Atlanta notched seven runs in Saturday’s eighth inning, erasing a 5-4 deficit. Braves outfielder Jason Heyward started the frame’s surge with a two-run double, while Chris Johnson ended the charge with a late single to score mate Dan Uggla. 

Arizona’s Miguel Montero and A.J. Pollock both cracked homers, uniting to hit 4-for-8. Diamondbacks leadoff man Gerardo Parra was held to a 0-for-4 day, while Eric Chavez left five men on base from the cleanup spot. 

Atlanta edged out the Diamondbacks in hits, 11-10, while Braves mates Brian McCann and B.J. Upton logged two RBIs each. The contest’s 16 runs surged OVER the MLB odds ‘total’ of 7 ½ by the sixth inning, with Arizona’s Jason Kubel recording the game’s sole error. 

Maholm survives in Milwaukee 

Maholm cashed as a 129 road favorite in last Sunday’s 7-4 victory for Atlanta over the Milwaukee Brewers. The 31-year-old allowed four runs over five frames, giving up a homer to Brewers catcher Jonathan Lucroy as part of eight hits. 

Atlanta went through five relievers, including Luis Avilan and Jordan Walden uniting for 2 1/3 frames of hitless ball. Braves closer Craig Kimbrel closed the contest with two strikeouts in the final inning, notching his 21st save.

Cahill lit up in defeat 

Cahill logged his fourth loss in five starts with Tuesday’s 7-5 setback for Arizona to the Washington Nationals, failing to collect as a 124 road dog. The California native was shelled for six earned runs on eight hits, departing after five innings. 

Arizona’s Aaron Hill and Paul Goldschmidt combined to bat 5-for-9, while Miguel Montero logged two RBIs. Diamondbacks third baseman Martin Prado drilled a homer as part of a 2-for-5 night, with both clubs uniting for 25 hits.


Back Arizona as a road dog

Bet365 opened Maholm as a 141 home favorite, while first posting the ‘total’ at 7 ½ (OVER minus 115). The weather forecast at Turner Field calls for an 85 degree day, with a 40 percent chance of thunderstorms. 

I am adding Cahill and Arizona to Sunday’s sports picks, looking for Kirk Gibson’s club to end its skid here at a plus price.

Cahill has tossed his share of tight ball in daytime battles, holding foes to a 1.09 WHIP and .269 OBP. The fifth-year hurler has given up just one homer as part of that span’s 19 1/3 IP, while Arizona is 5-2 in its last seven spots that came after losing the first two games of a series. 

Maholm has been stingy at home, but has been loose in afternoon affairs overall. The southpaw has logged a sizable 1.40 WHIP and .342 OBP over seven daytime outings, while Atlanta is 2-7 in its last nine games as a 150 favorite or less. 

Arizona’s Jason Kubel and Martin Prado have hit a combined 13-for-29 facing Mahlom’s arm, while Cody Ross has cracked three doubles and a homer in 14 at-bat’s. Look for the Diamondbacks to have their share of chances here, handing Atlanta a losing ticket on the way out of town.

MLB Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks +129 at Bet365

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