MLB Picks: Bet Brewers vs. Nationals going 'Under'

Joe Freda

Monday, July 1, 2013 12:36 PM GMT

Tonight's duel of right-handed starters has Milwaukee looking to end a five-game losing streak, while the Nationals return home after a 2-1 weekend at Citi Field.

Monday night’s MLB betting has the Milwaukee Brewers opening a four-game road series against the Washington Nationals, with Milwaukee’s Yovani Gallardo (6-7, 4.20 ERA) opposing Washington’s Jordan Zimmermann (11-3, 2.28 ERA). 

For more MLB info, don't forget to read our Daily Baseball Odds & Betting Lines Report!

Brewers swept, Nats spank Mets

Washington and Milwaukee enter this set heading in opposite directions, following road matchups against the New York Mets and Pittsburgh Pirates.

Washington capped off its stay in New York with Sunday’s 13-2 triumph as a 134 favorite, holding Terry Collins’ crew scoreless for eight frames. Nationals shortstop Ian Desmond drilled the final of four homers for his club, finishing with a 2-for-4 day and three RBIs.

Milwaukee ended its weekend with a pair of 2-1 setbacks to the Pirates, including a 14-frame marathon on Sunday afternoon. The lengthy affair saw Brewers reliever Jim Henderson give up Pittsburgh’s tying run in the eighth inning, while mate Francisco Rodriguez allowed a walkoff single for the staff’s loss.

Zimmermann outduels D-backs

Zimmermann notched his second straight win in Wednesday’s 3-2 victory for Washington as a 152 home favorite against the Arizona Diamondbacks. The fifth-year hurler allowed both of Arizona’s runs, giving up three hits over seven innings.

Washington’s Tyler Moore drilled a homer in the fourth inning, tying the duel at 2-2. Nationals outfielder Denard Span later scored his club’s go-ahead run during a double play, while relievers Tyler Clippard and Rafael Soriano closed the battle for a hold and save, respectively.

Gallardo goes four in defeat

Gallardo logged his first loss in four starts on the same night, with Milwaukee falling to the Chicago Cubs, 5-4. The 27-year-old allowed three earned runs in four frames, failing to cash as 134 home ‘chalk.’

Brewers second baseman Rickie Weeks logged one of his side’s two errors, resulting in a pair of unearned runs. Weeks went on to drill a ninth-inning double to set himself up as the team’s tying run, but was thrown out at home to end the late surge.

Back the UNDER in Washington

Zimmerman opened as a 190 home favorite at William Hill's MLB odds, while the ‘total’ was first set at a flat seven. Washington’s Bryce Harper (.287 BA, 12 HRs) is expected to return to his club’s lineup after missing extended action with a knee injury.

I am adding the UNDER in this matchup to Monday’s sports picks, looking for runs on both sides to come at a premium.

Zimmermann has allowed a sparse 0.83 WHIP and .223 OBP over his nine home starts, while facing a Brewers’ lineup that has hit .236 against righties on the road. Milwaukee has managed just 2 RPG in its last seven contests away from home, while Zimmermann held the Brewers to two earned runs over a pair of starts (12 2/3 IP).

Gallardo has gone three road starts without surrendering an earned run, allowing just 12 hits over the span’s 21 IP. The Mexico native fared well in last September’s visit to the nation’s capital, giving up two runs in five frames of action.

The UNDER has cashed at 6-1 in Milwaukee’s last seven road games against clubs with winning records, while the same wager is 8-1-2 as part of Washington’s most recent 11 spots that followed a victory. Look for the octane to stay tight here, adding another cashed ticket to the UNDER’s trends.

[gameodds]3/237840/?r-1=349-43-192/us[/gameodds]


MLB Pick:  UNDER 7 at William Hill

Looking for more MLB? Don't forget to read my analysis of the Tigers vs. Blue Jays series