MLB Picks: Bet Brewers +113 vs. Phillies in First 5 Innings

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 31, 2013 1:23 PM GMT

The Milwaukee Brewers and Philadelphia Phillies are two of the more disappointing teams in baseball, as they prepare to open up a three-game series Friday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this National League affair at Citizens Bank Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Check out our Friday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Horrific month 

Milwaukee is mired in a season-high six-game losing streak, while its dropped 22 of 27 games in May—just a single setback away from tying a franchise record for most losses in a calendar month. 

The Brewers dropped an 8-6 decision on the road to the Minnesota Twins Thursday, with the OVER cashing for the fourth time in five contests. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is 21-34 as road underdogs of +100 to +125. 

Mediocre at best 

Philadelphia hasn’t been above .500 record-wise the entire season, as it looks to bounce back from a 9-2 defeat to the Boston Red Sox as +121 home underdogs Thursday, while splitting its last 10 games overall. 

The Phillies are 5-9 versus NL Central opponents this season, with the OVER going 7-6-1 in that situation. 

Gallardo

Brewers starting pitcher Yovani Gallardo (3-5, 4.79 ERA) has watched the club drop his last five efforts on the mound, including a 5-4 home loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates last time out, as he allowed four runs and five hits over four frames. 

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 5.32 ERA in four road appearances, but hasn’t served up a home run in 22 combined innings. 

In three career regular-season starts versus the Phillies, Gallardo has compiled a perfect 3-0 record and 1.74 ERA, with each of those appearances taking place at Miller Park.

Hamels 

Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels (1-8, 4.43 ERA) hasn’t pitched with a lead since April 7, as he looks to snap a personal five-game losing streak, which includes a 6-1 setback on the road to the Washington Nationals last time out. 

The left-hander is 0-4 with a 5.35 ERA in five home outings, surrendering six round trippers in 33.2 innings of work.

In 10 lifetime appearances versus the Brewers, Hamels has tallied a 6-2 record and 3.42 ERA, with opposing hitters batting .216.

[gameodds]3/228405/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Milwaukee Brewers in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Friday, as they’ve won 10 of Gallardo’s last 11 road starts versus teams with a losing record.

MLB Pick:  Milwaukee Brewers +113 First 5 Innings