MLB Picks: Bet Astros & Tigers to go 'Under'

Jeff Grant

Monday, May 13, 2013 1:07 PM GMT

The Detroit Tigers outscored the Houston Astros by a 37-8 margin in earning a four-game sweep earlier this year, but both offenses may struggle to score runs tonight. Find out why we believe that the total holds the best value for our MLB picks.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League matchup at Comerica Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:08 p.m. ET.

Worst team in baseball 

Houston is 10-28 on the season and has been outscored by 81 runs through 38 games, as it tries to bounce back from getting swept at home in three games by the Texas Rangers—allowing a total of nine home runs in that series. 

The Astros are 1-5 as road underdogs of +200 or higher this season, with the OVER going 4-1-1 in that situation.

Check out our Monday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Treading water 

Detroit dropped two of three to the Cleveland Indians at home over the weekend, which has placed the two teams into a tie atop the American League Central standings, as it looks to bounce back from a pair of one-run losses. 

The Tigers have won six of their last seven games after suffering two consecutive losses to a division rival as a home favorite, with the UNDER cashing in five of those seven affairs. 

Norris 

Astros starting pitcher Bud Norris (4-3, 3.40 ERA) is coming off a 3-1 home victory over the Los Angeles Angels, as he allowed just a single run and nine hits over eight frames, while issuing a single walk and striking out two batters. 

The right-hander is 1-2 with a 5.93 ERA in three road outings, but he hasn’t surrendered a home run in 13.2 combined frames. 

Norris didn’t factor into the decision of a 4-3 home defeat to the Tigers two starts back, as he allowed two runs and five hits in seven strong innings. 

Sanchez 

Tigers starting pitcher Anibal Sanchez (3-3, 1.97 ERA) has dropped back-to-back games, including a 3-1 road loss to the Washington Nationals last time out, as he allowed three runs (two earned) and eight hits over six frames. 

The right-hander is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA in three home efforts, issuing just four walks and striking out 34 batters in 21 innings. 

In seven career games versus the Astros, Sanchez has compiled a 3-1 record and 2.08 ERA—not allowing a single round tripper in 43.1 combined frames.

[gameodds]3/226539/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks Monday, as the UNDER is 4-1 in Norris’ last five starts as a road underdog of +200 or higher, while the Tigers may sleepwalk through the series opener after outscoring the Astros 37-8 in earning a four-game sweep in the Lone Star State earlier this season. 

I suggest monitoring the injury status of Detroit outfielder Austin Jackson, who sat out Sunday’s affair with a hamstring injury. He’s very important to the Tigers success offensively at the top of the lineup. 

MLB Pick: Under 8