MLB Picks: Bet Angels -115 vs. Royals in First 5 Innings

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 24, 2013 1:34 PM GMT

Friday, May. 24, 2013 1:34 PM GMT

Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher Jason Vargas has enjoyed great success in May in his career, as he prepares to take on the Kansas City Royals Friday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League matchup at Kauffman Stadium, with the first pitch scheduled for 8:10 p.m. ET.

Check out our Friday Morning MLB Odds & Betting Lines Report

Streaking

Los Angeles has won a season-high five games in a row, including a 5-4 series-opening victory over Kansas City as +104 road underdogs Thursday, while going OVER the total for the fourth time in five contests.

The Angels are 3-7 as road favorites of -110 or higher this season, with the OVER going 6-4 in that situation.

Going in the wrong direction 

Kansas City has compiled a disappointing 3-7 record over its last 10 games, while tying the Chicago Cubs with 12 one-run losses after last night’s setback.   

The club is 21-23 overall on the season—sitting five games back of the Cleveland Indians in the AL Central standings. 

The Royals are 3-7 versus AL West opponents since the start of the 2013 campaign, with no clear edge in terms of the betting total (5-5 Over/Under) 

Vargas 

Angels starting pitcher Jason Vargas (3-3, 3.55 ERA) has led the team to four consecutive victories, including a 6-2 home win over the Chicago White Sox last time out, as he allowed four hits over seven shutout frames. 

The left-hander is 0-2 with a 5.16 ERA in four road efforts, with opposing hitters batting .347 against him.

In 31 games (25 starts) in May, Vargas has compiled an 11-4 record and 3.21 ERA—his most wins and lowest ERA of any month over the course of his career. 

Mendoza 

Royals starting pitcher Luis Mendoza (1-2, 5.50 ERA) has watched the club alternate wins and losses over his last five outings, as he didn’t earn a decision in a 4-3 road loss to the Oakland Athletics last time out—allowing three runs (two earned) and eight hits over six innings. 

In six career games (three starts) versus the Angels, Mendoza has gone 1-1 with an 8.04 ERA, which includes an 11-4 road win on May 13.

[gameodds]3/227855/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Angels in the first five innings as one of their MLB picks Friday, as Vargas has enjoyed great success with umpire Tim Welke behind home plate, while the Royals are 4-9 versus left-handed starters. 

MLB Pick:  Los Angeles Angels First 5 Innings -115 at Bet365

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