MLB Picks: The Best O/U Plays For Tuesday's Baseball Slate

Matthew Jordan

Wednesday, April 27, 2016 3:07 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 27, 2016 3:07 PM UTC

I'm hoping you didn't put money on Minnesota's Byron Buxton to win AL Rookie of the Year this season. If you did, here are my top totals picks for Tuesday to get you back up. 

Cleveland Indians vs. Minnesota Twins (8.5 On MLB Odds)
For a while, Buxton was the No. 1 prospect in baseball, ahead of guys like Kris Bryant and Carlos Correa, the NL and AL Rookies of the Year last season. The 22-year-old Buxton is batting .156 with 24 strikeouts in 45 at-bats this season and also struggled to hit in his 46-game debut last season (he is still technically eligible to win the ROY Award, however). In 63 major-league games, Buxton is batting .195 with 68 strikeouts. Yikes! Buxton certainly will be back up at some point this season.

The Indians got good and bad news on Monday in placing excellent starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco on the DL but activating star outfielder Michael Brantley from there. Carrasco will miss 4-6 weeks with a hamstring strain. Brantley had offseason shoulder surgery. The Twins go with the guy who has been their best starter this season in Ricky  Nolasco (1-0, 2.66). He had been arguably the worst pitcher in the American League the past two seasons. Nolasco has allowed six earned runs in 20.1 innings this year and only 17 hits.

Last year, he pitched two innings vs. Cleveland and allowed three runs. Brantley is 3-for-12 career off him with two RBIs. Jason Kipnis is 3-for-9 with two doubles and four RBIs. Cody Anderson (0-1, 7.53) gets the call for the Tribe. He might have lost his rotation spot if not for Carrasco's injury. Anderson has allowed five runs and nine hits in each of his past two starts and not lasted more than 4.2 innings. He was 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA in three starts vs. the Twins in 2015. Brian Dozier is 3-for-8 off him with a double. Back this play as an 'Over' as your MLB picks. It is 7-0 in Anderson's past seven starts. It's 4-1 in Nolasco's past five at home.

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Free MLB Pick: 'Over' 8.5
Best Line Offered: at Bovada


Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves (7.5 In MLB Betting)
This is your lone interleague matchup on the schedule so the Red Sox will lose the designated hitter. Thus that means David Ortiz won't start in his final big-league game in Atlanta as he can't really play first base at his age. Big Papi likely will pinch-hit, however. Neither he nor Hanley Ramirez started Monday but Ramirez should be back in there Tuesday.  The Sox will face the Braves' Matt Wisler (0-1, 3.10). He comes off his best start of the season, allowing one unearned run and four hits over 6.2 innings in a no-decision against the Dodgers.

Wisler has never faced the Red Sox. Boston goes with $217 million man and lefty David Price, who has been very shaky in his first season with the Red Sox. The 2015 AL Cy Young runner-up is 2-0 but with a ghastly 7.06 ERA. He was bombed for a career-high eight runs and eight hits in just 3.2 innings in his last start vs. Tampa Bay, one of Price's former teams.

Maybe it's just an April thing as Price has a 4.20 ERA in April, easily the worst of any month in his career. Nick Markakis has faced him more than any Brave, hitting .275 with two RBIs and nine strikeouts in 51 at-bats. Freddie Freeman is 1-for-5 off him with three strikeouts. The 'Under' makes for a valuable pick on the MLB odds boards. It is 6-1 in Wisler's past seven at home.

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Free MLB Pick: Under 7
Best Line Offered: at Heritage 


Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (6.5 On MLB Picks)
Any time that Dodgers ace lefty Clayton Kershaw takes the mound, you are on no-hitter alert. Kershaw (2-0, 1.50) has yet to allow more than two earned runs in a start this season. He allowed 10 hits (eight singles) over eight innings in Atlanta in his last start and took a no-decision. He struck out 10 and has whiffed 30 on the season compared to only three walks.

It was the first time Kershaw has allowed double-digit hits while striking out at least 10 in his career. No Dodger had done that double since Hideo Nomo in 1997. Kershaw lost his lone start vs. Miami last year, allowing one earned run over seven innings on seven hits. Giancarlo Stanton is 4-for-15 career off him with a homer and three RBIs. Christian Yelich, one of the NL's batting leaders, is 3-for-6 off Kershaw with three strikeouts. The Marlins go with Tom Koehler (1-2, 4.80).

He beat the Nationals last Thursday, allowing one run and two hits over five innings. Koehler was 1-0 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts in 2015 vs. Los Angeles. Chase Utley is 6-for-15 off him with a homer and six RBIs. Carl Crawford is 1-for-6. He was set to be activated off the 15-day  disabled list before Tuesday's game. Make this pick an 'Under.' it is 5-2 in Koehler's past seven vs. teams with a winning record. It's 12-1 in Kershaw's past 13 vs. the NL East. 

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Free MLB Pick: Under 6.5
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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