MLB Picks: Baseball Value PicksTwin Pack

Joe Catalano

Monday, July 22, 2013 2:18 PM GMT

It’s a new week and the MLB grind goes on. There are plenty of hungry opportunistic teams out there in search of a World Series Championship.

Time to ride the momentum on the backs of the teams that want it.

Detroit Tigers (53-44) at Chicago White Sox (39-56)

Nobody has really noticed, but the Chicago White Sox are even worse than the Chicago Cubs!

That said, the team from the South Side are currently on a very modest 2 game winning streak. To make things worse, the Sox get to face Max Scherzer (13-1, 3.19) and the hard hitting Detroit Tigers featuring Miggy Cabrera and Prince Fielder.

Pitcher’s Duel

This game will totally be about the pitching as Scherzer attempts to recover from his 1st loss of the season. The task might look easy, but he’ll be facing a tough competitor in Chris Sale (6-8, 2.85). Sale is an elite pitcher that’s just on a terrible offensive team which gives him little or no run support.

Sale can mow a team down with power. He has 131 strikeouts in 120 innings and has held opposing batters to just a .213 batting average.  He’s coming off of a 6-3 victory over Detroit and gets to face them again. Sale has been dominant against the Cabrera-Fielder combination, but in that game, Miguel Cabrera went deep on him.

Check out Jeff Grant's Daily Pitching Report to get more info on these to Kings of the Hill!

“Blame It On Rios”

Under tough circumstances, Alex Rios has managed to hold it together. In his last 2 games, he’s 5 for 9 with 1 HR, 6 RBI, and 3 runs. Only July 9th, Rios went an amazing 6 for 6 against the Tigers.

This is a player to be reckoned with. On the season, he’s batting .277 with 12 HR, 48 RBI, and 20 SB. The numbers would be much better, but when you play for a bottom feeder such as Chicago and nobody gets on base, this is expected.

The UNDER 7.5 runs is the play in this game when you have 2 starters like “Mad” Max Scherzer and Chris Sale starting. Look for a low scoring affair.

Pick- Chicago White Sox/Detroit Tigers UNDER 7.5 at Bet 365

[gameodds]3/239702/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Upset Alert

Baltimore Orioles (56-43) at Kansas City Royals (45-50)

The Orioles have won 4 games in a road including a recent sweep of the formidable Texas Rangers. Baltimore is stacked offensively from McClouth to Hardy. Everyone in the starting lineup is capable of going yard.

Missing Chicago

What I’m concerned about in this game is the pitching of Scott Feldman. Feldman hasn’t been the same since being traded from the Cubs to the Orioles. He’s 1-1 with a 5.79 ERA in 3 starts for the O’s, but clearly hasn’t been the competitive gamer that he was with Chicago.

Although Feldman faces a rather weak pitcher in Wade Davis (4-8, 5.89), look for the Royals to pull of the upset and possibly see hitters like Gordon, Butler,Hosmer, and Moustakas get into the mix.

Baltimore is a -109 favorite and a lot of people think that it’s a value MLB pick in the O’s favor. I happen to think the opposite. Even though most of the betting trends point to Baltimore, the Orioles are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

Look for Feldman to go down in flames; he hasn’t gotten acclimated to returning to the American League as of yet.

[gameodds]3/239701/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Pick- Kansas City Royals -101 at Bet 365 (Search for more favorable betting odds if you can find them)

Good luck, everyone!