MLB Picks: Baseball Value Picks for Friday

Joe Catalano

Friday, July 26, 2013 2:33 PM UTC

Friday, Jul. 26, 2013 2:33 PM UTC

Friday night features a lot of top-flight starting pitching matchups. Are there going to be a lot of UNDER the totals?

Let’s take a look and assess the night for MLB Picks of the Day.

Cincinnati Reds (59-44) at Los Angeles Dodgers (53-48)

The Reds have to be feeling good about themselves as they put an end to the Dodgers winning streak last night and are now 15 games above .500.

Cincinnati reminds me of the Pittsburgh Pirates. They’ve had poor teams for much of the last two decades (Pittsburgh worse than Cincinnati) and have finally started playing like a powerhouse. Unfortunately for both the Pirates and Reds, they’re in the same division as the St.Louis Cardinals.

A Clear Path

The Dodgers, who have just started to get red hot, don’t have the same situation. They play in a weaker National League West Division and their main adversary, the San Francisco Giants, are having a terrible year and there’s nothing from stopping L.A. from winning the division.

If L.A. is to go far into the playoffs, starting pitcher, Clayton Kershaw (9-6, 2.01), will need to be his very best.

Kershaw or Harvey?

There’s still much dispute about who’s the best pitcher in the National League. Kershaw took a backseat to Harvey in the All-Star game, but this is a player that doesn’t need to take a backseat to anyone.

Kershaw has pitched a quality start in 9 out of his last 10 starts. Now that the offense is starting click with hitters like Puig, Ramirez, and Crawford, Kershaw can finally get that much needed run support that he’s been missing.

Kershaw goes up against a tough pitcher in Homer Bailey (5-9, 3.84). Bailey is no slouch , has pitched a no-hitter this season, but has also lacked run support . This is quite surprising when he has Joe Votto, Jay Bruce, and Brandon Phillips backing him. Bailey has pitched 3 consecutive outings in which he picked up the loss as the Reds scored just 2 runs in each of those games.

The only difference in this game is home field advantage for L.A. and Kershaw is a better pitcher than Bailey. This should amount to a win for the Dodgers.

Free Pick –Los Angeles -160 at Bet 365

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Minnesota Twins (43-56) at Seattle Mariners ( 49-53)

The Seattle Mariners are making a run out of nowhere, winning 9 out of their last 10 games and a lot of it comes from there two top- level starters in Felix Hernandez and Hisashi Iwakuma.

Iwakuma (10-4) did his job yesterday against the Twins, going 6 innings and allowing just 4 hits while striking out 9 batters; now it’s the King’s turn.

Trouble in Minnesota

There’s still no Joe Mauer in the lineup as he’s milking this fatherhood thing for everything that he can get out of it.

 A Twins team without Mauer is a less effective team as we’ve seen. When a team is missing a .320 hitter and team leader, they’re going to feel it.

Without Josh Willingham, you look up and down the Twins lineup and you don’t see much. Justin Morneau shows flashes of great play as does Trevor Plouffe. Aaron Hicks is at the bottom of the lineup and occasionally can deliver a timely long ball for Minnesota, but he’s currently residing under the Mendoza Line and a team can’t win with players hitting that poorly.

Seattle, who has never been known for their offense, had hits from everyone in their lineup in their 8-2 win over Minnesota yesterday except for Ibanez. Nick Franklin’s 3 run home run sparked the victory.

Kyle Seager

A lot of fantasy leaguers are getting on the Seager bandwagon as of late as he’s carving out a very respectable season for himself.

On the season, Seager has 16 HR, 47 RBI, and a .289 BA. In his last 10 games, Seager is 10 for 35 with 9 runs, 2 doubles, 2 HR, and 4 RBI. This is the quiet type of producer that Seattle needs with their outstanding pitching.


King Felix

Hernandez will be the difference in tonight’s game. He’s coming off of back to back shutouts and has allowed a mere 6 runs in his last 5 starts. The King is on fire and Minnesota will be his next victim.

I’ve gotten burned by a run-line (score was 1-0) with my last big favorite because I didn’t want to lay the juice. Take the risk and the moneyline here.

MLB Pick- Seattle -220 at Bet 365 (King Felix is on fire and so is Seattle)

Good luck, everyone!

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