MLB Picks: Baseball Picks of the Day

Joe Freda

Sunday, April 21, 2013 11:46 AM GMT

The San Francisco Giants host the San Diego Padres, while the Arizona Diamondbacks face the Colorado Rockies. Will the home faves stay hot here, or is their value backing a dog or ‘total’ wager?

Sunday afternoon’s baseball betting has a pair of National League West series wrapping up, with the home ‘chalk’ in each looking to sweep the set. 

San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants

San Francisco came away with a 2-0 win in Saturday’s victory over the Padres, cashing at minus 145 on the MLB odds boards. Giants slugger Pablo Sandoval cracked a homer for his side’s pair of runs, while closer Sergio Roma logged his eighth save.

Sunday’s affair has a pair of southpaw starters on the hill, with San Francisco’s Barry Zito (2-1, 4.86 ERA) facing San Diego’s Eric Stults (2-1, 3.94 ERA). 5Dimes.eu opened Zito as a 150 home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at eight.

Zito was lit up for nine runs in Tuesday’s 10-8 defeat for the Giants as a 106 road dog against the Milwaukee Brewers. The 14-year veteran lasted just 2 2/3 innings, surrendering two long balls as part of nine hits. 

Stults went six frames as part of Monday’s 6-3 victory for San Diego over the Los Angeles Dodgers, cashing as a 145 road dog. The 33-year-old allowed all three of Los Angeles’ runs, giving up nine hits.

I am backing San Diego and Stults here at plus 140, looking for an upset as part of my day’s sports picks.

Stults has given up no homers in 11 IP away from home, while the span’s two victories moved the Padres to a 7-0 mark in his last seven road starts against clubs with winning records. The Indiana native notched two wins and a no-decision in three starts against San Francisco last year, holding the Giants to three earned runs in the stretch’s sole road outing. 

San Diego has cashed at 6-2 in its last eight spots that came after losing a series’ first two games, while San Francisco is just 1-4 in Zito’s last five home starts against the Padres.

Pick: San Diego Padres +140 at 5Dimes.eu for your MLB picks.

[gameodds]3/225339/1537-43-19-93/us[/gameodds]

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

Colorado notched its eighth straight win in Saturday’s 4-3 triumph over Arizona, collecting as 118 home ‘chalk.’ Rockies mates Michael Cuddyear and Eric Young cracked a homer and triple, respectively, while Rafael Betancourt closed the affair for his seventh save.

A pair of right-handed hurlers square off in Sunday’s finale, with Colorado’s Juan Nicasio (2-0, 5.62 ERA) facing Arizona’s Brandon McCarthy (0-2, 7.47 ERA). Bookmaker.eu opened its MLB odds favoring Nicasio at minus 145, while posting the ‘total’ at 10 ½. 

Nicasio came away with his first home win in Tuesday’s 8-4 victory for Colorado over the New York Mets, allowing four earned runs in five frames. The Dominican Republic native allowed two homers, while logging five strikeouts.

McCarthy’s last start came on the same day of action, with Arizona falling to the New York Yankees in a 4-2 defeat as a 119 road dog. The 29-year-old lasted four innings (102 pitches), giving up three earned runs on nine hits.

I am adding a ticket on the OVER here, looking for octane to pick up in this matchup after a tight start to the series.

Nicasio’s pair of home outings last year against Arizona saw the OVER collect at 2-0, with both clubs combining for 14.5 RPG. Diamondbacks catcher Miguel Montero has one homer in just two career at-bat’s facing the righty, while mate Cody Ross looks to end his 0-for-7 slump in the series with two doubles in three trips to the plate against Nicasio.

Colorado has a .347 OBP at home against right-handed pitching, racking up 6.96 RP9I. The OVER has cashed at 6-2 in the team’s last eight spots against clubs with winning records, while umpire D.J. Reyburn has seen the OVER collect at 2-0-1 in his last three called games at Coors Field.

Pick: OVER 10 ½ at Bookmaker.eu

[gameodds]3/225340/1537-43-19-93/us[/gameodds]