MLB Picks: Back Road Dog Astros vs. Orioles

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 9, 2014 2:10 PM GMT

The Baltimore Orioles have been difficult to back as home favorites of this kind the last couple years, which provides the Houston Astros a ton of value in Friday night’s series opener. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting odds for this American League matchup at Oriole Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.
Trying to put something together
Houston hasn’t won back-to-back games since April 26-27, as it comes off a 6-2 victory over the Detroit Tigers as +166 road underdogs Thursday, while going 'under' the betting total for the third time in four contests. It’s important to look at the teams' patterns before placing MLB picks. Note that the Astros are 10-9 in games in which they’ve hit at least one home run and 1-15 in games in which they don’t leave the yard. MLB handicappers will find that the squad is 3-2 as road underdogs of +150 to +175 during the 2014 campaign.

Returning home
Baltimore went 4-2 on its recently completed road trip, which was highlighted by picking up a three-game sweep against the Tampa Bay Rays, with each of those affairs being decided by two or fewer runs. The Orioles lead the AL with a 13-6 record in night games, while they’ve also captured 10 of their last 12 meetings in this particular series. Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise has gone 79-54 versus teams with a losing record.
 
 
Feldman
Orioles starting pitcher Scott Feldman (2-1, 1.69 ERA) will return to the mound for the first time since April 17, as he landed on the 15-day disabled list due to right biceps tendinitis. The right-hander ranks fifth in the majors in opponents’ batting average (.176)—allowing just 16 hits in his 26.2 innings pitched. Feldman has tallied a 4-1 record and 3.79 ERA in six career outings against the Orioles.

Chen
Orioles starting pitcher Wei-Yin Chen (3-2, 4.24 ERA) suffered a 6-1 road defeat to the Minnesota Twins last time out, as he surrendered three runs (two earned) and six hits over five innings of work.
The left-hander is 1-1 with a 3.32 ERA in three home outings—not allowing a home run in 19 combined frames. Chen earned a 4-3 home win in his only career effort against the Astros on July 30 of last season.
 
[gameodds]3/263655/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]
Prediction
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Astros as one of their MLB picks, as the Orioles have gone 4-9 in their last 13 games as home favorites of -150 to -175.
 
Free MLB Pick: Bet Houston Astros +153