MLB Picks: Back Mets As Home Underdog vs. Sliding White Sox

Matthew Jordan

Monday, May 30, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

Monday, May. 30, 2016 12:00 PM UTC

The White Sox need a win on Monday, but then so do the Mets starting pitcher Matt Harvey. New York is a +109 home underdog for the Memorial Day matinee on MLB odds.

What You Need To Know
I'm not sure I've even seen a weekend like the White Sox just had in Kansas City in being swept. Chicago had 5-2 lead in the seventh inning of Friday's game but lost that 7-5. On Saturday, the Pale Hose led 7-1 with an out in the bottom of the ninth but somehow lost 8-7. Do you know how nearly impossible that is? It was the biggest ninth inning comeback in Royals history. And then on Sunday, in a game I previewed here at SBR, the Sox led 4-2 entering the bottom of the eighth thanks to ace Chris Sale. Alas, he was pulled after 118 pitches, as he should have been, and the bullpen imploded again in a 5-4 loss.

The White Sox had a six-game lead in the AL Central a couple of weeks ago and there were talks of a possible Windy City World Series against the Cubs. Now the White Sox have lost 14 of 18 and are in third place, a game behind leader Kansas City. There have been some calls for the team to fire Manager Robin Ventura, but I doubt that happens because the former White Sox star third baseman is a favorite of owner Jerry Reinsdorf and he's maybe the most loyal owner in all of sports.

New York, meanwhile, lost two of three at home to the Dodgers over the weekend, managing just three total runs in the final two games. The team got infielder Wilmer Flores back off the disabled list on Sunday and he was 0-for-3. However, starting third baseman David Wright missed a second straight game Sunday with a neck injury and isn't likely to play Monday, either. Thus Flores likely will play third again. The Mets also are expected to activate first baseman James Loney on Monday. He was acquired from the Padres over the weekend for cash considerations. Loney was released by Tampa Bay earlier this season.

Keep in mind that the White Sox will lose the designated hitter for this interleague game. That's usually Avisail Garcia, although he could play in the outfield. Ventura might move Adam Eaton from right field to center field and play Garcia in right. Plus usual center fielder Austin Jackson had to leave Sunday's game due to turf toe.


Probable Pitchers
As noted above, Harvey really needs a good outing or he might be pulled from the rotation for a while. The "Dark Knight" was supposed to be a Cy Young candidate but has been one of the worst pitchers in the National League with a 3-7 record and 6.08 ERA (the rest of the rotation has a 2.72 ERA). He has allowed at least five runs in each of his past three outings, all Mets losses. In his most recent start, against the Nationals last Tuesday, Harvey had only one strikeout. It was  the first time he had ever failed to record multiple strikeouts. The team thought about not letting him start here but wanted to give Harvey one more chance to pitch himself out of it. Harvey's average fastball velocity is down nearly 2 mph this season. The Mets are an amazing 22-4 on MLB Odds in their past 26 Monday games.

Harvey last faced the White Sox on May 7, 2013, and had arguably the best outing of his career, throwing a complete-game one-hitter with 12 strikeouts and no walks. Chicago's Jimmy Rollins is 5-for-19 off Harvey with two doubles, two homers and four RBIs career. Todd Frazier is 2-for-9 with four strikeouts. Melky Cabrera is 1-for-3.

The White Sox go with lefty Jose Quintana (5-4, 2.22), who leads the American League in ERA. The Sox have lost his past three outings, though. He allowed three runs and five hits over six innings last Wednesday vs. Cleveland. Chicago has totaled five runs in that three-start losing streak. Quintana has given up only one homer all season. The 'under' is 9-0 in Quintana's past nine starts on MLB Picks.

Only a few Mets have ever faced Quintana in a regular-season game. Yoenis Cespedes is 9-for-15 with four homers, two doubles and 10 RBIs off him. Curtis Granderson is 1-for-4 with a homer and two RBIs. Asdrubal Cabrera is 2-for-9 with six strikeouts.   

For our MLB Free Picks we'll take Mets and 'under.' The White Sox are 0-5 in their past five games against right-handed starters. The Mets are 13-6 in their past 19 at home. The 'under' is 4-0 in Quintana's past four series openers. The 'under' is 7-1 in the Mets' past eight after a loss. 

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2993565, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free MLB Pick:  Mets +110 & Under 7
Best Line Offered:  at Inertops & Heritage

comment here