MLB Picks: Back Homer Bailey & Reds vs. Pirates

Thursday, June 19, 2014 11:55 AM UTC

Thursday, Jun. 19, 2014 11:55 AM UTC

Homer Bailey is starting to turn his 2014 campaign around, which provides the Cincinnati Reds a major edge over the Pittsburgh Pirates Thursday afternoon. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this National League Central affair.
<p style="text-align:center"><span><iframe frameborder="0" src="/video/embed/?videoId=20666" height="330" width="560"></iframe></span></p> <p><br /><span><b>A new season<br /></b></span><span style="font-size:1em">Cincinnati moved its record to .500 for the first time since April 2 after coming away with a <a href="/picks/mlb/mlb-picks-bet-simon-reds-vs-pirates/40240/" title="Another winning MLB pick from capper Jeff Grant" target="_blank">11-4 victory over Pittsburgh</a> as +125 road underdogs Wednesday night, while going 'over' the betting total for the fourth time in five contests. </span><span style="font-size:1em">The Reds are a legitimate threat to win the division in the futures market if outfielder Billy Hamilton continues to improve, as he extended his multi-hit streak to a career-high four games last night.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 9-6 as underdogs of +100 to +125 when playing away from the Great American Ball Park, with the 'under' going 9-6 in that situation.</span></p> <p><br /><b style="font-size:1em">Need a spark<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Pittsburgh has dropped three games in a row, but is capable of turning things around, as outfielder Andrew McCutchen leads the Majors with a .356 average in June the last three years. </span><span style="font-size:1em">McCutchen had his personal 12-game hit streak snapped Wednesday, while he’s gone 12-for-40 (.300) in his career against today’s opposing starter.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em">It’s important to point out that <a href="" title="This bettor noticed a day-game trend and wants your opinion" target="_blank">the club is a dismal 9-17 in day games</a>, with the 'under' going 19-5-2 in those 26 opportunities.</span></p> <p><br /><span style="font-size:1em"><b>Bailey<br /></b></span><span style="font-size:1em">Reds starting pitcher Homer Bailey (7-3, 4.68 ERA) has led the team to five consecutive victories, but he didn’t factor into the decision of a 6-5 road win over the Milwaukee Brewers last time out—allowing four runs and six hits over 6.1 innings of work. </span><span style="font-size:1em">The right-hander is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA in seven road outings, with opposing hitters batting .294 against him (.269 at home). </span><span style="font-size:1em">Bailey has compiled a 5-1 record and 1.60 ERA in seven career efforts in the Steel City.</span></p> <p><br /><b style="font-size:1em">Locke<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em"><a href="" title="These bettors recommend fading Jeff Locke" target="_blank">Pirates starting pitcher Jeff Locke</a> (0-1, 3.98 ERA) will be making his fourth appearance of the season—walking just a single batter and striking out 17 over the course of 20.1 innings. </span><span style="font-size:1em">The left-hander is 6-7 with a 4.57 ERA in 25 career games (23 starts) at this ballpark, as he’s served up 12 home runs in 126 combined frames. </span><span style="font-size:1em">In five lifetime starts versus the Reds, Locke has produced a 2-1 record and 3.04 ERA.</span></p> <p><br /><b style="font-size:1em">Prediction<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">I’m going to recommend that readers back the Reds as <a href="/picks/mlb/" title="For more expert MLB betting advice, click here!" target="_blank">one of their MLB picks</a>, as they’ve captured Bailey’s last four trips to the mound versus division rivals.</span></p> <p><span style="font-size:1em"><b>Free MLB Pick:</b> Cincinnati Reds </span></p> [/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":287653, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
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