MLB Picks: Athletics vs. Giants to go Over the Total

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, July 9, 2014 1:03 PM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 9, 2014 1:03 PM UTC

Jason Hammel may experience some nerves in his first outing for his new team, which will play a big role in a high-scoring affair between the Oakland Athletics and San Francisco Giants Wednesday night. Let’s take a closer look at the MLB betting lines for this interleague showdown at AT&T Park, with the first pitch scheduled for 10:15 p.m. ET.

Oakland has won six games in a row by outscoring opponents by a 25-5 combined margin in that span, including a 6-1 victory over San Francisco as -153 home favorites Tuesday, while going OVER the total for the first time in six affairs.

The Athletics are going to find it difficult to continue that streak in playing at this ballpark, as they’ve dropped 12 of their last 14 road games against the Giants.

MLB handicappers will find that the franchise is 13-5 on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 during the 2014 campaign.

Desperate times
San Francisco’s 7-20 record since June 9 is the worst mark in the Majors over that period of time, as it continues to struggle in clutch situations—hitting just .133 with runners in scoring position in its previous 11 contests.

The Giants have been trying to spark the offense by moving outfielder Hunter Pence around in the batting order, as he’s hit .340 in his last 24 games, and went 5 for 8 versus the Athletics at home a year ago.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the club is 16-18 as home underdogs of +100 to +125, with the UNDER going 19-12-3 in that situation.

Jason Hammel was acquired from the Chicago Cubs last Saturday, as he prepares to make his first start for the franchise—posting a 8-5 record and 2.98 ERA in his previous 17 starts.

The right-hander is 11-5 with a 3.84 ERA in his career during interleague play, including an even 1-1 mark and 2.84 ERA in two such outings this season.

In nine lifetime efforts (eight starts) versus the Giants, Hammel has produced a 0-2 record and 3.02 ERA, including an 0-1 mark and 2.35 ERA in five appearances at this venue.

Giants starting pitcher Matt Cain (1-7, 4.27 ERA) has watched the club drop his last five trips to the mound, including a 2-0 road defeat to the San Diego Padres last time out—surrendering two runs and seven hits over 6.1 innings of work.

The right-hander is 1-3 with a 3.73 ERA in six home outings, with opposing hitters batting .201 against him (.278 on the road).

In 10 career games versus the Athletics, Cain has registered a 3-5 record and 2.11 ERA, but has gone 2-1 with a 0.95 ERA in his past five appearances.

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their MLB picks, as the OVER is 3-0-1 in the Athletics’ four road games with a number of seven or lower.
Pick:  Over 7

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