MLB Picks: Athletics vs. Angels Weekend Coverage

Darin Zank

Friday, July 19, 2013 1:16 PM GMT

The AL-West leading Oakland A's look to build on their lead, and maybe cause a little misery for a division rival, when they get together with the LA Angels for a three-game weekend series.

LA has taken the first two games of this series, after winning Saturday night 2-0 behind a beautiful outing from starter CJ Wilson.

The Angels won as -140 chalk on Saturday's MLB betting board, and the game, much to our liking, stayed UNDER its total of eight.

The A's have now scored just 13 runs over their last eight games, and have a total of 10 hits in this series, seven of them singles. 

So, the Halos will shoot for the sweep when the teams meet Sunday at the Big A (3:35 pm ET). 

Sunday's Betting Odds

As of Sunday morning most baseball books were listing Oakland and Bartolo Colon at around -115 over LA and Jerome Williams, with a total of 8.5. The A's could also be gotten at around +130 on the run line.

Sunday's Pitching Match-Up

Williams (5-5, 4.60) is 7-for-12 on quality starts this season, which ain't bad, but he's 0 for his last three, and that's been ugly. Last time out he got ripped for six runs in less than four innings vs. Seattle, and over his last three outings he's been bombed for 17 ER and 18 hits in just eight innings of work. That's a total reversal from the start of this season, when he gave up just four ER through his first eight appearances, covering 21 1/3 innings.

For the year Williams has allowed 95 hits, including 13 homers, in 92 innings, walked 29 and struck out 57. The Angels are 6-6 in Williams' starts, with the totals going 7-5.

Williams has made three appearances vs. Oakland this season, giving up one ER and eight hits in nine innings.

Colon (12-3, 2.70), by our tough standards, is a sparkling 14-for-19 on quality starts, and is running on a streak of 11 in a row. Last time out he held Boston to two runs through 6 1/3 innings, and over his last four starts he's allowed six ER through 28 1/3 innings. Colon hasn't given up more than three runs in a start since May 9.

[gameodds]3/239638/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

On the season the 40-year-old Colon has permitted 126 hits in 126 2/3 innings, walked just 15 while whiffing 70. 

It's not hard to see why the A's are 15-4 in Colon's starts this year. 

This will be Colon's first start this season against LA; last year Colon started three times against the Angels, giving up four ER and 20 hits in 21 2/3 innings. Oakland won two of those three games.

Our Take on Sunday's Game

Colon gets a solid edge in the pitching match-up, but the A's just can't score any runs at the moment. And Cespedes is expected to miss Sunday's game, too. We've won on our free MLB picks on the UNDER in the first two games of this series, and that looks like the good bet for today.

 

Pick: Take the UNDER 8.5 runs at the -124 offered at Bet 365.    

20 July
Saturday's Game

By: Ron Patrick

 

Can Oakland push on toward a second straight division title? Or can the underachieving Angels get their act together and cause some headaches for the A's? how might we attack this series, from a betting perspective and profit with our MLB picks? 

Los Angeles took the opener of this series Friday night 4-1 behind another quality start from Jered Weaver and solo homers from Mike Trout, Albert Pujols and Erick Aybar.

The Angels won as -130 favorites on Friday's MLB betting board, and the game, to our delight, played UNDER its total of 7.5 runs. 

Oakland has now scored just 13 runs over its last seven games. 

So LA will go looking for the series victory when the teams meet for Game 2 Saturday night (9:05 pm ET). 

Saturday's Betting Odds

As of Saturday AM most books were listing the Angels and CJ Wilson at around -135 over Oakland and Dan Straily, with a total of eight. Los Angeles could also be gotten at around +140 on the run line at various betting stations.

Saturday's Pitching Match-Up 

Wilson (9-6, 3.37) is 11-for-19 on quality starts this season, and three for his last three. Most recently he held the Cubs to one run through seven innings, and over his last three outings he's allowed just two ER through 18 2/3 innings. 

For the season Wilson has given up 113 hits in 120 1/3 innings, walked 47 and struck out 110. 

The Angels are 10-9 in Wilson's starts this year.

Wilson has started twice this season against Oakland, allowing six ER and 12 hits in 12 1/3 innings; the Angels split those two games. 

Straily (6-2, 4.28) is 7-for-14 on QS this year, and two for his last two. Last time out he limited the Pirates to one run and two hits through 6 1/3 innings, and just before that he tossed seven innings of one-hit, shut-out ball vs. the Cubs. 

On the season Straily has allowed 64 hits in 80 innings, walked 26 and whiffed 66. 

The A's are a profitable 10-4 in Straily's starts this season. 

But in his one start this year vs. LA, Straily got strafed for six runs in less than five innings of a game Oakland eventually won 10-8 back in April. 

[gameodds]3/239609/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Injury Update

Oakland OF Yoenis Cespedes, who just won the home-run derby at the All-Star game, was a late scratch from Friday's lineup because of a sore wrist and is questionable for Saturday.

Our Take on Saturday's Game

Both starting pitchers have been pretty good as of late, and the A's are having a very tough time scoring runs. The UNDER worked for us Friday, so we'll stick with it for our free pick for Saturday.

Pick: Take the UNDER eight runs at the -105 offered at Will Hill.

19 July
Friday's Game

By: Ron Patrick

 

A's-Angels Friday Betting Lines 

As of Friday morning most MLB betting outlets were listing LA and Jered Weaver at around -140 over Oakland and AJ Griffin, with a total of 7.5 runs. 

Also, The Greek was chalking the Angels at -135 to win this series, with the A's getting +115. 

A's-Angels Series Set-Up 

Oakland took two of three games from Boston just before the All-Star break, and has won six series in a row, winning 12 of its last 17 games. 

The A's haven't exactly been tearing the cover off the ball, scoring just 12 runs total over their last six games. But Oakland pitching has allowed just 13 runs over that same span, which is why it's played six UNDERS in a row. 

LA, meanwhile, got swept three games by Seattle just before the break, which put a damper on the 11-3 run it was on.

So, at 56-39 the A's lead the AL West by two games over second-place Texas, and by 11 games over the  44-49 Angels.

Oakland also leads the season series with LA five games to one. And all six games in this series this season have played OVER on the totals.

Friday's Pitching Match-Up

Weaver (3-5, 3.63) is 6-for-11 on quality starts this season, and three for his last four. Last time out he gave up four ER and nine hits in 5 2/3 innings against Seattle, but in his three starts previous to that he had allowed just two ER over 20 2/3 innings.

For the season Weaver has given up 66 hits in 67 innings, walked 16 and struck out 50.

LA is 6-5 in Weaver's starts this season.

This will be Weaver's first start this year against Oakland; last year, in four outings vs. the A's, Weaver was totally dominant, holding them to just one ER and 14 hits through 30 2/3 innings; LA won all four of those games.

Griffin (8-6, 3.68) is 8-for-19 on quality starts this year, and is coming off a solid outing in which he held Boston scoreless through eight innings of a 3-0 Oakland victory last Saturday. And just prior to that held limited Kansas City to two runs through five innings of a 10-4 A's win. Over his last five starts, outside of a burp against the White Sox, Griffin has allowed two runs or fewer four times. 

On the season Griffin has given up 109 hits in 122 1/3 innings, with 28 walks and 94 whiffs.

In his only start so far this season against the Angels back in April Griffin held them to one run and five hits in eight innings of an 8-1 Oakland victory. And in his one start last year vs. LA Griffin threw eight shut-out innings in a 4-1 A's win.

As far as the bullpens are concerned for this series Oakland ranks seventh in the Majors with a 3.12 ERA and has converted 27 of 37 save opportunities, while the Angels rank 19th with a 3.84 ERA and have made good on 24 of 31 save opps.

A's-Angels, Statistically Speaking

LA ranks seventh in the Majors in scoring at 4.6 runs per game and fourth in team OPS at .755.

Oakland ranks ninth in scoring at 4.5 RPG and 13th in OPS at .718.

A's-Angels Betting Trends

The OVER/UNDERS are 27-21 in games played at the Big A this season.

But the totals are also a combined 9-21 in Weaver and Griffin's starts this year.

LA is 41-13 in Weaver's last 54 starts at home.

[gameodds]3/239490/?r-1=43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

Our Take on Friday's Game

We're not exactly sure who's going to win Friday; Weaver was tough as nails on the A's last year, but is he the same pitcher right now as he was then? And Griffin hasn't been too shabby himself, holding the Angels to one run in two career starts. If we were to lean one way on the side, it would be toward the underdog price with Oakland. But for our free pick for Friday we'll look toward the total, and go with the UNDER.

Pick: Take the UNDER 7.5 runs at the +101 offered at Will Hill

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