MLB Picks: Angels vs. Pirates Odds & Prediction

Joe Freda

Friday, June 21, 2013 12:48 PM UTC

Friday, Jun. 21, 2013 12:48 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Angels have gone 5-2 in the first seven games of their present homestand, outscoring foes by a 40-25 margin. What will be the value play for tonight's game?

Friday’s MLB betting has Mike Scioscia’s club opening a weekend set against the Pittsburgh Pirates, with right-handers Jered Weaver (1-3, 4.41 ERA) and Gerrit Cole (2-0 3.75 ERA) matched up. Let's take a look at what the MLB odds tells us about this matchup.

Angels, Pirates meet with momentum

Los Angeles and Pittsburgh both rallied for wins as part of Thursday’s action, topping the Seattle Mariners and Cincinnati Reds in finales.

Angels mates Mark Trumbo and Peter Bourjos homered off Seattle’s Felix Hernandez, with their club erasing an early 8-1 deficit. Los Angeles finished with 17 hits en route to a 10-9 triumph, including a 4-for-4 night from outfielder Mike Trout.

Pittsburgh’s Pedro Alvarez drove in all of his side’s runs as part of a 5-3 victory over the Reds as a 183 road dog. The Dominican Republic native drilled a homer and double in a 3-for-4 day, while Pirates relievers Bryan Morris and Tony Watson held Cincinnati to three hits over the duel’s final four frames.

Weaver lit up early at home

Weaver logged a second straight loss in Sunday’s 6-5 setback for Los Angeles against the New York Yankees. The 30-year-old gave up five runs in the contest’s third inning, allowing seven hits and four walks over six frames.

Angels slugger Albert Pujols was held to a 0-for-4 day, leaving six men on base. Los Angeles’ Erick Aybar and Chris Iannetta logged one error each, while the Yankees held on to cash for my followers as 127 underdogs.

Cole notches second win

Cole prevailed for a second straight victory as an MLB starter, with Sunday’s 6-3 win as a 131 home favorite for Pittsburgh over the Los Angeles Dodgers. The rookie allowed all three of the Dodgers’ runs, lasting 5 2/3 innings.

Pittsburgh’s trio of relievers held Los Angeles hitless over the final 3 1/3 frames, with closer Jason Grilli logging his 25th save. Pirates outfielder Alex Presley notched a 3-for-4 day from the leadoff spot, drilling his second homer of the year.

Back the OVER in Anaheim

Weaver opened as 160 home ‘chalk’ at William Hill, while the ‘total’ was first listed at 7.5 (UNDER minus 120). The weather forecast in Anaheim calls for a clear 67 degrees, with calm winds.

I am adding a ticket on the OVER in this duel, looking for the series to start with some slugging on both sides.

Weaver has given up a 1.28 WHIP and .316 OBP over his three home outings, while allowing a sizable nine runs over his last two starts overall (11 2/3 IP). Pittsbugh’s Russell Martin has a homer and double as part of an 8-for-27 career mark against Weaver, while coming in hitting 5-for-10 in his club’s set with Cincinnati.

Cole has held his own on the hill, but faces his first road start and a talented American League lineup here. Los Angeles has hit a stellar .300 against right-handed pitching at home, while the OVER is 4-1 in the Angels’ last five interleague spots facing righty starters.

For your MLB picks, look for the OVER to collect again in this spot, adding to the 13-5-1 mark for the wager in the Angels’ last 19 home dates against clubs with winning records.

MLB Pick: OVER 7 ½ at William Hill

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