We take a look at the total for game 4 of the ALCS between the Blue Jays & the Royals. It took 19 runs for the game to be decided yesterday and Toronto stayed in this series with an 11-8 win.
According to 5Dimes, they have this game listed at 9 runs. I find that to be a bit high, but being what we saw yesterday and being the fact that the Toronto Blue Jays had the most powerful offense in all of baseball this season, the MLB odds are set right where they should be.
Tulowitzki is the "X" Factor"
When Troy Tulowitzki, who is a very inconsistent hitter, is hitting well, you may see Toronto score 9 runs all by themselves. We have to remember that this isn't Coors Field and we're not going to see the same type of production out of Tulo at the Rogers Centre, but he was fired up yesterday and could be a factor in this game.
Yesterday, Tulowitzki was 2 for 4 with a home run and 3 RBI's to go along with it. During the game he questioned a call on a pitch and got into a heated argument with the umpire.
Normally, I would say that this is a negative for Toronto, but maybe it's got Tulowitzki's competitive juices flowing and he may produce in game 4 against Chris Young or the K.C. bullpen. In Colorado, Tulowitzki was a big time hitter. If he can return to his old form, we will see a lot of runs as all of the big bats in the Toronto lineup will have protection.
One other player that we may see continue to smash the ball is odds on favorite to win the AL MVP Award in Josh Donaldson. Donaldson has been the perfect fit for the Jays this season and has been the missing ingredient that got them to this point. Without Donaldson, the Blue Jays, would not have come back against the Yankees and took the division as he took guys like Lou Severino deep at Yankee Stadium.
Donaldson feels comfortable at the Rogers Centre, whether the roof is opened or closed. He's a guy that can hit anywhere and in any type of conditions.
Donaldson finally got on track in this series as he went deep in game 4 and when he hits home runs, he hits them in bunches. Aside from Donaldson, who is hitting .333 in this series, Edwin Encarnacion (.333) and surprisingly, Ryan Goins (.400) are hitting well in this series despite being behind. I look for the Jays to come out strong. They can't have Kansas City up 3-1 in this series.
A Team Effort
With the Kansas City Royals, you never know who will step up and they are the definition of the word "team". Yesterday, things were a bit different as Kendrys Morales, Ben Zobrist, and Alcides Escobar, went a combined 10 for 14.
Morales has been displaying power throughout the playoffs and has been a major factor in getting the Royals to this series. My only concern with the over is that R.A. Dickey is pitching and when a kncukleballer is on their game, they're difficult to hit. Dickey has had some big games in his career, especially with the New York Mets. I think that he'll have his good stuff today, knowing that this is a must win situation for Toronto. Under is the play.
MLB Pick: Kansas City Royals & Toronto Blue Jays Under 9 (-110) at 5Dimes