MLB Picks: (2-0) Royals at +130 Odds is a Can't Miss World Series Bet

Friday, October 30, 2015 2:48 PM UTC

Friday, Oct. 30, 2015 2:48 PM UTC

The Mets dropped the first two games of this World Series, but now return home for at least the next two. They're also getting a fat underdog price to come back and win this Series.

Royals-Mets World Series Game 3 Odds
In the early Game 3 betting the best MLB odds we could find on New York with Noah Syndergaard was the -132 offered at 5Dimes, while Kansas City with Yordano Ventura was getting +130 at Heritage.

Also, 5Dimes was now chalking the Royals at -390 to win this World Series, with the Mets getting +320 to rally.


Game 3: The Situation
Kansas City took the first two games of this World Series at home by scores of 5-4 (in 14 innings) and 7-1. The Royals got eight great innings out of their bullpen in Game 1, then got a complete game from starter Johnny Cueto in Game 2.

New York has to feel a bit disheartened, after throwing Matt Harvey and Jake deGrom in Games 1 and 2 but failing to even come away with a split. The Mets bullpen had to throw 10 innings through the first two games, although the day off should help.

This handicapper hit with our free MLB picks on the first two games of this series, taking KC both games, mainly because we thought the Royals owned an edge in the comparison of the bullpens. And they still do.


Game 3 Starters
Syndergaard (9-7, 3.24), by our tough standards, went 14-for-24 on quality starts this season, including three for his last four. He then made two appearances against Los Angeles in the NLDS, allowing three runs through 7 1/3 innings, with 11 strikeouts. He then started Game 2 of the NLCS against Chicago, 12 days ago, allowing just one run and three hits through 5 2/3 innings, with one walk and nine whiffs, in a 4-1 New York victory.

On the season the Mets are 14-12 in games Syndergaard has started.

Ventura (13-8, 4.08) only went 12-for-28 on quality starts this season, and he's 0-for-four in these playoffs. In two starts against Houston in the ALDS he gave up six runs through seven innings, and in two starts against Toronto in the ALCS he gave up four runs through 10 2/3 innings. However, in his most recent outing one week ago he held the Jays to one run and four hits through 5 1/3 innings, with two walks and five strikeouts, in a 4-3 Royals Game 6 victory.

On the season Kansas City is 19-13 in Ventura's starts.

This will be the first-ever start for both these hurlers against tonight's opponents


Game 3 Batting Splits
Kansas City ranked 11th in the Majors this season against right-handed pitching with a .321 team OBP and sixth with a .416 team slugging percentage. But the Royals lose a stick – probably Kendrys Morales - playing in a National League park for the next couple-three days.

In 10 games played at NL parks during the regular season KC scored 37 runs, splitting those games 5-5.

New York, meanwhile, ranked 21st this season against right-handed pitching with a .312 team OBP and 20th with a .397 team slugging percentage.


World Series Game 3 Free Picks
Our main handicapping factors for this game seem to balance out; New York owns a short edge in the pitching match-up, Kansas City owns a short edge in the bullpen, and we'll call the bats, with the Royals down one, a wash. But for the moment KC has momentum on its side, and it's getting an underdog price. So for our free MLB pick on Game 3 we like the Royals.

MLB Pick: Kansas City +130 at Heritage

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