MLB Pick: White Sox & Royals to See 'Under' Cash Again

Charles Stark

Wednesday, September 30, 2015 11:01 AM UTC

Wednesday, Sep. 30, 2015 11:01 AM UTC

After combining for 19 hits with only six runs to show for it I'm going to look for less hits today and around the same final when the Kansas City Royals take on the Chicago White Sox. I'm going to back under the total in this game which should be a pretty solid underrated pitching matchup.

MLB odds makers have come out with a total of eight for this game which seems set about right to me. What started out at regular juice of -110 on the under has now gone to -120 at most sports books. Today I'm going to take under the total at -117 at Pinnacle Sports.

Kansas City Royals
Edinson Volquez takes the mound for the Royals and comes in with a 3.65 ERA, 1.30 whip, 147 strikeouts, and a 13-9 record. In his last 10 starts he has been pretty decent and on the road this year he has been hot and cold. His ERA does jump up just a little bit on the road to 3.82 but he has pitched well versus the White Sox this season. In 27 innings pitched against Chicago he's allowed just five earned runs off of 21 hits for a 1.67 ERA and a 1.04 whip. The Royals have already clinched the division and I look for Volquez to come out with a quality start today.

Kansas City ranks sixth in the major leagues in runs scored per game at 4.47, 11th in OPS at .735, and second in batting average hitting .269 as a team. On the road most of their statistics drop quite a bit and their batting average falls from .279 in Kansas City to .260 on the road. As well their runs per game drops and their OPS goes from .760 at home compared to .709 on the road. Yesterday, they did manage nine hits but only two runs to show for it and I don't expect them to have a tremendous offensive performance today.


Chicago White Sox
José Quintana gets the start for the White Sox and comes in with a 3.38 ERA, 1.29 whip, 169 strikeouts, and at 9-10 record. His numbers across the board are really good this season except for in the win loss column. Against Kansas City he has been subpar allowing 15 earned runs in 31 innings pitched for a 4.35 ERA and 1.48 whip. Surprisingly, he has better numbers on the road than he does at home but in his last two home starts he has allowed just two earned runs total off of eight hits in 13 innings. In his last few starts he's been throwing really well and I expect him to continue that momentum today against the Royals.

The White Sox rank 27th in runs scored per game at 3.88, 27th in OPS at .689, and 20th in batting average hitting .250 as a team. Their OPS goes up at home but surprisingly both their batting average and their runs per game go down in Chicago. With their season winding down here and not really a lot to play for I don't expect their offense to have any kind of breakout day. Expect Volquez to put up a lot of zeros against this pretty weak offensive team.

It makes sense that the juice is gone a little bit higher on under the total in this matchup. Both these pitchers have been pitching well recently and should continue that today. For one of your MLB picks I recommend under the total in this spot and expect the final much similar to yesterday.

Free MLB Pick: Bet the 'Under' at Bookmaker

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