Phillies Are Rightful Favorites To Sign Manny Machado

Matthew Jordan

Friday, November 30, 2018 4:17 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 30, 2018 4:17 PM UTC

Let the Hot Stove League begin! Today, we look at the MLB favorites to sign arguably the biggest prize on the market: Manny Machado.

Must be rough to be deciding between $350 million offers! I presume that’s what former Orioles and Dodgers third baseman/shortstop Manny Machado and his representatives are sorting through in free agency as we write this. Both Machado and former Nationals outfielder Bryce Harper – each just 26 – figure to surpass the record-breaking $325 million deal that Giancarlo Stanton signed with the Marlins in 2014. That proved to be so onerous that the Fish gave Stanton away last offseason to the Yankees.

MyBookie offers a prop on where Machado signs. Recent history says it probably won’t be until early in the New Year at the soonest. Plus, I’m sure both Machado and Harper want to wait out the other guy to then surpass his contract numbers.

I would argue Machado is the better player because he can play a premium defensive position at shortstop and is a Gold Glove third baseman if a team chooses to put him there – Machado wants to play short, but his size will park him at third for good eventually. Machado has a career WAR of 33.8 per Baseball Reference, while Harper is at 27.4.

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MLB Rumors: Execs think Manny Machado will sign with Phillies, Bryce Harper will be back with the Nats https://t.co/uAblMX6Qf3 pic.twitter.com/ar5nRBvpvL

— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) November 29, 2018
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Last year, Machado hit a combined .297 with a .905 OPS with the Orioles and Dodgers along with 37 homer and 107 RBIs. Yes, Machado had a pretty lousy postseason with the Dodgers and was criticized for his lack of hustle -- "I'm not the type of player that's going to be 'Johnny Hustle' and run down the line and slide to first base", he said -- but that’s not going to turn suitors away.

Here’s a look at the MyBookie options to sign Machado:

Phillies (+150): Perhaps no team in the majors has more money to spend this offseason – shoot, owner John Middleton said this about his teams plans: "We're going into this expecting to spend money. And maybe even be a little bit stupid about it.” They are getting either Machado or Harper. ESPN’s Buster Olney took an informal poll of MLB execs and the majority said Machado to Philly, which needs both a third baseman and shortstop in the worst way.

Yankees (+200): Owner Hal Steinbrenner questioned Machado’s hustle comment, and New York seems more focused on starting pitching (even after landing James Paxton) and Harper. The Bombers seem set on the left side of the infield as well.

White Sox (+700): If Machado wants to win right away, this won’t be the place to go. But this franchise seems poised to return to contention soon with a lot of young talent. The Pale Hose have money to spend and need a star to draw fans.

Dodgers (+900): Machado was pretty good overall in L.A. after coming over from Baltimore, but you hear he wasn’t beloved in the clubhouse. Plus, the Dodgers have Justin Turner at third and Corey Seager returning from injury at short.

Cardinals (+1200): Not really like the Cardinals to make a major splash like this, but they have a gaping hole at third (and short really) and are falling further and further behind the Brewers and Cubs in the NL Central.

Mets (+1800): Don’t see this as a possibility after New York added major payroll with the Robinson Cano trade.

Cubs (+2000): Cubs don’t need a shortstop (Javier Baez) or third baseman (Kris Bryant) but do need outfield help – i.e. Harper.

Field (+300): A mystery team always pops up for the biggest free agents. Think Angels a few years ago with Albert Pujols.

Free MLB Pick: PhilliesBest Line Offered: MyBookie
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