MLB Pick: Washington Nationals, Miami Marlins ‘under’ 7

LT Profits Sports Group

Monday, April 15, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Monday, Apr. 15, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

The Marlins have one of the worst offenses in baseball this season and that does not figure to change vs. Jordan Zimmermann. The Nationals are not scoring either so go ‘under’ Monday.

Runs may be hard to come by for both teams on Monday night when the Washington Nationals (7-5, 1-2 away) pay a visit to the punchless Miami Marlins (2-10, 1-5 home) in the first game of a three-game series from Marlins Park in Miami, FL at 7:10 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Sports is 7 or this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +100.

The Marlins have scored a Major League worst 20 total runs in 12 games, and keep in mind that Miami scored seven runs in a win over the New York Mets, meaning that it has a total of 13 runs in the other 11 games for a disgusting average of 1.18 runs per game.

These two teams opened up the season with a three-game series at Washington, and the Nationals very nearly tossed three straight shutouts to begin the year as only a solo home run by Justin Ruggiano in the series finale enabled the Marlins to escape that dubious feat. Miami was expected to struggle offensively after its off-season fire sale and it has, and the fact that only legitimate bat in the Marlins’ lineup Giancarlo Stanton is out with shoulder injury also hurts.

The pitcher that allowed that home run to Ruggiano in the opening series, Jordan Zimmermann, gets the start tonight for the Nationals and he would be the ace on a lot of pitching staffs. He is just the third starter on the Washington staff, but Zimmermann is off to another fine start as he followed up his six-inning, one-run outing vs. these Marlins by limiting the Chicago White Sox to two runs on seven hits in seven innings while getting his second win last Wednesday.

The Nats may need another strong start from Zimmermann to win this game because they too are having some offensive difficulties right now. Washington scored a grand total of five runs while getting swept at home in a three-game series by the hot Atlanta Braves this past weekend including scoring just one run over the last two games. While they are not down to Miami’s standards, the Nationals are now batting just .238 as a team while averaging 3.83 runs overall.

Furthermore, Washington is batting a measly .202 vs. left-handed pitchers while averaging only 2.10 runs per nine innings against them, which should make life a bit easier for Miami southpaw starter Wade LeBlanc.

Naturally, like the entire Miami pitching staff, LeBlanc has suffered from a lack of run support, but he has pitched reasonably well despite his 0-2 record. He was the losing pitcher vs. Zimmermann in the third game of the season when he was charged with just two earned runs in five innings with five strikeouts and two walks, and he then posted a Quality Start in a 3-2 loss to the Braves, allowing two runs in six innings with another five strikeouts vs. just one walk.

Finally, none of the games in the season opening three-game series between these teams exceeded seven total runs, and look for yet another ‘under’ on Monday.


MLB Pick: Nationals, Marlins ‘under’ 7 (+100)

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