I'm coming back to a valuable MLB pick today with the Mariners facing David Price & the Tigers. After dropping yesterday's game I think Seattle will bounce back with a win to split the series.
MLB odds makers came out with this game +138 on the Mariners and it dropped just a little bit, this is usually a good sign because there is some money coming in on the Mariners. Although that doesn't decide the winner, speaking of where the money goes, it still shows that people do see value in Seattle in this matchup. By first pitch with a big name like Price on the mound for the Tigers this line might go back up. Right now the best line I have found on the Mariners is at +130 at 5Dimes and BetOnline sportsbook.
I was really happy to see Hisashi Iwakuma bounce back from his first start back after being injured and pitch well against the Angels. He then followed up with a decent game against the New York Yankees in the Big Apple allowing two earned runs in just over five innings. That first start back from injury was against the same Tigers team he faces today, and in that last matchup on July 6th he allowed five earned runs in five innings. Don't expect him though to get roughed up like that again because he is a solid major league pitcher that comes in with a career 3.19 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. When I saw him pitch in Japan for the Hanshin Tigers he was lights out. There has been a few rumors out there that David Price might get traded before the deadline, and if he does he will cost a hefty sum. With Cabrera still out this might be the smart move for the Tigers, but I think they'll to wait until the last minute. He is having a Cy Young type season with a 2.32 ERA and 1.11 WHIP. He simply does not have a lot of bad outings, but his ERA does rise to over 3.00 at home.
It seems like Robbie Cano is starting to come around at the plate, but it would be nice for Mariners fans for their team to follow suit. Up and down the stat sheet the Tigers are ranked higher than the Mariners, Detroit is ranked third in runs scored compared to Seattle at 27th, in OPS Detroit is second with Seattle 25th, and in average the Tigers lead the league with Seattle rank 29th. The gap is quite large between these two on the offensive end as far as production goes this season.
So with the pitching matchup slightly favoring Detroit, and the offense definitely favoring Detroit, why take Seattle with our MLB picks? Because this is baseball and value as value, Iwakuma can be a really difficult pitcher to face and it seems like Seattle might be coming around just a little bit. Not including the game yesterday, Seattle's other three losses starting this second half were all by one run. At the end of the day this is simply a value play on Iwakuma and that he will be solid on the mound, back the Mariners on the plus money line.
MLB Pick: Mariners +130