MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, July 24, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Jul. 24, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

The reigning Triple Crown winner will probably not be in the lineup in what could be a low scoring game Wednesday night when Anibal Sanchez and the Detroit Tigers (55-44, 26-25 away) pay a visit to John Danks and the Chicago White Sox (39-58, 21-24 home) in the third game of a four-game series from U.S. Cellular Field in Chicago, IL at 8:10 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 8 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -113.

The Tigers have taken the first two games of this series by scores of 7-3 on Monday and 6-2 on Tuesday, thus extending the American League Central Division lead over he second place Cleveland Indians to 3½ games. The White Sox meanwhile are bringing up the rear, now a bloated 15 games behind the Tigers.

Despite winning the last two nights, Miguel Cabrera, who last season became the first Triple Crown winner since 1967 and could potentially win another one this year as he has 31 home runs and 96 RBI to go with a .358 average, injured his hip flexor in the series opener and sat out the game last night. Cabrera is very likely to miss this game also, but fortunately the Tigers have a pitcher going that can compensate for that huge offensive loss.

Sanchez was among the Major League leaders in FIP before going on the Disabled List for about a month, and he has looked good since coming off of the DL while allowing exactly one run in two of his three return starts. Sanchez does not qualify to be among the pitching leaders right now, but he will again be among the leaders when he does have enough qualifying innings as he still has a 2.42 FIP.

Obviously his 7-7 record is extremely deceptive as Sanchez has a 2.85 ERA and 1.19 WHIP with 114 strikeouts in 98 innings against only 32 walks and five home runs allowed. The White Sox offense he is facing tonight had shown improvement since upper management stated publicly that the entire team except pitcher Chris Sale is available at the trading deadline, but Detroit pitching has put an end to that the last two nights as Chicago had just five hits in each game.

White Sox southpaw starter Danks did not make his first start of the season until May 29th following shoulder surgery, and while he is just 2-7 with a 4.52, he has just recently begun looking like his old self as he has gotten his arm strength back. Yes he was hit hard last time out, but he had allowed three runs or less in each of his previous four starts. He also now has an outstanding 33 strikeouts vs. six walks over his last seven starts.

Danks is now facing a Detroit lineup that is surprisingly batting a scant .219 vs. left-handed pitchers over the last 10 games, and that was with Cabrera starting the first nine games. Also, the White Sox have a hot bullpen that has posted a 2.05 ERA over the last 10 games.

Obviously Cabrera being out is a big help also, so go ‘under’ at U.S. Cellular Field on Wednesday.


MLB Pick: Tigers, White Sox ‘under’ 8 (-113)

comment here