MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, June 26, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, Jun. 26, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

There should be a pitcher’ duel on tap Wednesday night when the steady Scott Feldman and the Chicago Cubs (31-44, 14-22 away) pay a visit to the red-hot Yovani Gallardo and the Milwaukee Brewers (32-43, 19-21 home) in the second game of a three-game series from Miller Park in Milwaukee, WI at 8:10 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 8½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -102.

The Brewers spotted Chicago a 3-1 lead on the series opener last night before scoring eight unanswered runs for a 9-3 victory to break a last place tie in the National League Central. The Cubs now have that dishonor all to themselves at 16 games behind the first place St. Louis Cardinals, while the Brewers are in fourth place 15 games back.

This has certainly been a disappointing season for the Brewers, especially here at home where they remain two games under .500 after being one of the better home teams in the National League the last few years. However, they do have one of the hottest pitchers in baseball on the mound tonight that should dominate the Cubs’ lineup.

Gallardo may still have some underwhelming numbers overall as he is still 6-6 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.32 WHIP, but no other Major League starting pitcher has been better than Gallardo over his last three starts, as he has tossed 21 innings without allowing an earned run and surrendering just 12 hits with 15 strikeouts vs. five walks, resulting in a 0.81 WHIP to go with his unblemished ERA.

Gallardo has always been notorious for being streaky and he certainly appears to be in one of his zones right now. That should continue vs. a Cub lineup that has seemed helpless the last two times it has seen him, as Gallardo allowed a total of three runs and seven hits in 14 innings with 18 strikeouts in those two starts!

Chicago counters with Feldman, who is in his first season in the National League after coming over from the Texas Rangers. Feldman has certainly enjoyed his new surroundings as he has gone 6-6 while pitching for a team that is 13 games under .500 with a very good 3.39 ERA and 1.15 WHIP while possessing a nice ratio of 64 strikeouts vs. 25 walks in 85 innings.

Feldman has also pitched well in his two career starts vs. Milwaukee, allowing a total of one earned run on seven hits in 11 innings with 12 strikeouts, with the most recent outing coming in April of this season. Also note that the Cubs have parted ways with relief pitcher Carlos Marmol, which we see as a positive in terms of saving this ‘under’.

Thus, expect a relatively low scoring game in Milwaukee on Wednesday.


MLB Pick: Cubs, Brewers ‘under’ 8½ (-102)

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