MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, June 12, 2013 4:00 AM GMT

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

Expect a higher scoring game than the fairly low posted total suggests Wednesday night when Phil Hughes and the New York Yankees (30-33, 12-21 away) pay a visit to Daniel Straily and the Oakland Athletics (37-27, 18-14 away) in the second game of a three-game series from O.co Coliseum in Oakland, CA at 10:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 7½ for this contest with the current odds on the ‘over’ set at -102.

Both of these teams are officially in second place in their respective divisions although the Athletics have forged a virtual first place tie with the Texas Rangers in the American League West after winning the series opener here 6-4 last night, beating the Yankees for the fourth time in the last five meetings, as they trail Texas by just .003 percentage points. The Yankees trail the Boston Red Sox by two games in the American League East.

The Yankees are actually in good shape considering that they had so many superstars on the Disabled List to begin the year, and a key reason has been that the pitching has held up well for the most part, with the Yankee starters having a cumulative 3.83 ERA. However, one notable exception as been the Wednesday starter Hughes, who has been rather erratic.

Hughes has a losing 3-4 record with a high 4.80 ERA and a nondescript 1.36 WHIP, and his last two starts have been a microcosm of the inconsistency he has shown all year. Hughes pitched very well last time out vs. the Seattle Mariners, allowing only one unearned run and three hits in seven innings, but that came on the heels of a bad outing in his previous start vs. the Red Sox where he allowed five earned runs on seven hits while lasting just 4.1 innings.

So which Hughes will show up tonight? Well, the Athletic will have a say in that matter as they too are now starting to get healthy after having three outfielders on the Disabled List simultaneously not too long ago. As a result of their walking wounded returning, the A’s are batting a nice .295 vs. right-handed pitchers over the last 10 games.

Now Straily was supposed to be the next big thing in Oakland when he came up last season, but he has definitely had some growing pains this year while going 3-2 with a 4.67 ERA, although to be fair Straily did have three straight Quality Starts after his ERA hit its high-water mark of 7.27 after his May 15th start vs. the Texas Rangers.

However, that streak of Quality Starts was snapped last time out vs. the usually light-hitting Chicago White Sox on Thursday when he allowed four earned runs in seven innings with only three strikeouts and two walks. Also, Straily labored the first time he faced the Yankees this season despite being charged with only three earned runs in 5.1 innings, as the patient New York lineup waited him out through three walks and 85 pitches.

The Yankees were unable to get the key hit that day, but keep in mind that Curtis Granderson and Mark Teixeira have both returned since then so look for New York to score more runs today to help the ‘over’ along on Thursday.

[gameodds]3/236249/238-92-43-349-192/us[/gameodds]

MLB Pick: Yankees, Athletics ‘over’ 7½ (-102)