MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Wednesday

LT Profits Sports Group

Wednesday, May 15, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Wednesday, May. 15, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Wednesday.

The ‘under’ looks like the way to go in the Bay Area on Wednesday when Alexi Ogando and the Texas Rangers (25-14, 14-10 away) pay a visit to Daniel Straily and the Oakland Athletics (20-21, 10-9 home) in the final game of a three-game series from Coliseum in Oakland, CA at 3:35 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 8 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at a positive +102.

The Rangers are also wrapping up a nine-game road trip that has seen them go 5-3 so far including a split in the first two games of this series, as the Rangers evened things up last night 6-5 in extra innings after the Athletics took the series opener 5-1 on Monday. Starter Derek Holland allowed four earned runs for the Rangers last night after Justin Grimm allowed five earned runs on Monday, but pitching performances like that have been rare this year.

You see, the Rangers are in first place in the American League West by six games over these Athletics, but unlike past seasons they are not bludgeoning teams with their offense but rather winning with pitching this season, as Texas has a fine 3.48 staff ERA. After a couple of sub-per performances the last two nights by the starters, look for Ogando to restore order today.

Ogando has been very consistent while going 3-2 with a 3.09 ERA, and he deserves a better record given that he has allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his eight outings! In fact, Ogando allowed three earned runs in only one of those quality efforts, as he allowed two earned runs twice, just one earned run three times and he had one scoreless outing.

Just imagine how great Ogando’s numbers would be if not for his one stinker where he allowed five earned runs in 2.1 innings vs. the Chicago Cubs in Wrigley Field.

Ogando now gets a chance to maintain his fine form vs. an Oakland offense that has had three outfielders on the Disabled List in Josh Reddick, Chris Young and Coco Crisp. Reddick may need surgery, although Crisp could be activated for this game and Young is expected back on Friday. Oakland is batting a pitiful .202 vs. right-handed pitchers while averaging a mere 2.84 runs per nine innings against them in the last 10 games with a decimated lineup.

Straily was supposed to be the next in line of the studly young pitchers developed in the Oakland system when he first came up last season, and he still might be eventually, but he may need a tad more bit of seasoning to gain some consistency. He may get that seasoning soon as he may be the odd man out when the A’s activate Brett Anderson later this week.

Straily may force Oakland’s hand if he pitches as well against the Rangers as he did the first time he faced them last September though, or at the very least return to the minors with a fine feeling after a good Major League effort. The young right-hander held Texas to one earned run on just five hits in 6.2 innings that day with eight strikeouts against two walks.

Straily also has the support of an Oakland bullpen that is ranked fourth in the American League with a 3.09 ERA, so go ‘under’ in Oakland on Wednesday.


MLB Pick: Rangers, Athletics ‘under’ 8 (+102)

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