MLB Pick: Total Value Play of the Day Thursday

LT Profits Sports Group

Thursday, August 22, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 22, 2013 4:00 AM UTC

Each day the LT Profits Sports Group seeks out a total that simply does not add up and therefore offers the most value that day. Here is their Total Value Play of the Day for Thursday.

Runs could be scarce in a game between two teams probably playing out the string Thursday night when Chad Bettis and the Colorado Rockies (59-69, 23-42 away) pay a visit to the Kyle Kendrick and the Philadelphia Phillies (56-70, 32-30 home) in the final game of a four-game series from Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA at 7:05 ET.

The posted total at Pinnacle Spots is 9 for this contest with the current odds on the ‘under’ set at -113.

The Phillies have been a team on a freefall ever since being at 500 at the All-Star break as they have gone 8-22 since then to fall to fourth place and 21 games behind the first place Atlanta Braves in the National League East. Meanwhile the Rockies are in third place in the National League West, but it is a distant third as they are 16 games behind the first place Los Angeles Dodgers and they are not a factor in the wild card race.

As you might expect in a series between two dead teams, there has not been a lot of excitement at the normally raucous Citizens Bank Park this week despite the Phillies winning two of the first three games of this series with the last two games going ‘under’ after the series opener ‘pushed’ the total. With this being a night game on Getaway Day, expect both teams to be anxious to get this game over with as quickly as possible.

The Rockies are very high on the rookie Bettis, who is a power pitcher that throws his fastball in the mid-90’s and has a great slider to go along with it. Bettis has actually allowed exactly two earned runs in each of his last two starts, although he was charged with eight runs in just 2.2 innings vs. the Baltimore Orioles last time out because shoddy defense behind him led to six unearned runs!

Still, Bettis showed enough in his previous two starts when he allowed just eight hits over 11 innings to justify the Rockies’ high hopes for him. This will be his first appearance ever vs. Philadelphia, which should make him doubly tough, and he is facing a Philadelphia offense that recently got long-time Phillies’ Manager Charlie Manuel fired by batting a disgusting .189 and averaging just 2.40 runs over the last 10 games.

Kendrick has managed to go 10-10 while pitching for a team that is 14 games under .500 and he tossed a gem in a losing cause last time out, limiting the red-hot Dodgers to just one earned run in six innings but getting literally zero run support in a 5-0 loss. He is facing a Colorado lineup that has not been nearly as potent on the road as it has in the altitude of home, as the Rockies are batting a modest .244 and averaging only 3.49 runs per game away from Denver.

Add this all up and look for an ‘under’ in the City of Brotherly Love on Thursday.


MLB Pick: Rockies, Phillies ‘under’ 9 (-113)

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